{"id":369710,"date":"2026-05-16T05:12:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-16T09:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-16T15:57:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-16T19:57:04","slug":"winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match &#8211; Saturday May 16, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SD.png\" alt=\"San Diego Padres logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Diego Padres<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+150<\/span><span>O\/U: 7<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>-170<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Diego Padres Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Walker Buehler &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-165\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Among all starters, Walker Buehler&#8217;s fastball spin rate of 2150 rpm grades out in the 19th percentile this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ramon Laureano &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ramon Laureano has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">It may be wise to expect better numbers for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Logan Gilbert &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Logan Gilbert is expected to wring up 17.6 outs in today&#8217;s outing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luke Raley &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luke Raley has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.7-mph average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Seattle Mariners bats as a group rank 6th- in MLB for power this year when using their 93.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Diego Padres &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 Team Total (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.25 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Mitch Garver &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+135\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Mitch Garver has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.45 Units \/ 94% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.22.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners +150O\/U: 7(-120\/+100)-170 San Diego Padres Insights Walker Buehler &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-165\/+130) Among all starters, Walker Buehler&#8217;s fastball spin rate of 2150 rpm&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":369711,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,250,248,251,241,100,736,242,249,243,73,246,239,692,240,21,253,4,245,252,647,244],"class_list":["post-369710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-logan-gilbert","tag-luke-raley","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-ramon-laureano","tag-rankings","tag-san-diego-padres","tag-score-prediction","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-simulation","tag-team-stats","tag-walker-buehler","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match - Saturday May 16, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners on May 16, 2026. Discover team stats, rankings, insights, and winning probability to keep you more informed!\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match - Saturday May 16, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners on May 16, 2026. Discover team stats, rankings, insights, and winning probability to keep you more informed!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-16T09:12:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-16T19:57:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/mlb\/default\/20260516_sd_sea.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"400\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"EV Analytics\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"EV Analytics\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"EV Analytics\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b72fb0db8d3ab3531164d4f9fa692c41\"},\"headline\":\"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match &#8211; Saturday May 16, 2026\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-16T09:12:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-16T19:57:04+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":473,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/mlb\\\/default\\\/20260516_sd_sea.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Analysis\",\"Game Breakdown\",\"Game Forecast\",\"Head-To-Head\",\"Insights\",\"Logan Gilbert\",\"Luke Raley\",\"Match\",\"Match Preview\",\"Matchup\",\"MLB\",\"Prediction\",\"Preview\",\"Ramon Laureano\",\"Rankings\",\"San Diego Padres\",\"Score Prediction\",\"Seattle Mariners\",\"Simulation\",\"Team Stats\",\"Walker Buehler\",\"Winning Probability\"],\"articleSection\":[\"MLB Game Previews\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2026\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/\",\"name\":\"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match - Saturday May 16, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/mlb\\\/default\\\/20260516_sd_sea.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-16T09:12:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-16T19:57:04+00:00\",\"description\":\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners on May 16, 2026. Discover team stats, rankings, insights, and winning probability to keep you more informed!\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/mlb\\\/default\\\/20260516_sd_sea.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/mlb\\\/default\\\/20260516_sd_sea.png\",\"width\":800,\"height\":400},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/mlb-game-previews\\\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match &#8211; Saturday May 16, 2026\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/\",\"name\":\"EV Analytics - WriteNow\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"EV Analytics\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"\",\"contentUrl\":\"\",\"caption\":\"EV Analytics\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b72fb0db8d3ab3531164d4f9fa692c41\",\"name\":\"EV Analytics\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/f660ab912ec121d1b1e928a0bb4bc61b15f5ad44d5efdc4e1c92a25e99b8e44a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/f660ab912ec121d1b1e928a0bb4bc61b15f5ad44d5efdc4e1c92a25e99b8e44a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/f660ab912ec121d1b1e928a0bb4bc61b15f5ad44d5efdc4e1c92a25e99b8e44a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"EV Analytics\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/evanalytics.com\\\/articles\\\/author\\\/evanalytics\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match - Saturday May 16, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics","description":"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners on May 16, 2026. Discover team stats, rankings, insights, and winning probability to keep you more informed!","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match - Saturday May 16, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics","og_description":"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners on May 16, 2026. Discover team stats, rankings, insights, and winning probability to keep you more informed!","og_url":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/","og_site_name":"WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics","article_published_time":"2026-05-16T09:12:05+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-05-16T19:57:04+00:00","og_image":[{"width":800,"height":400,"url":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/mlb\/default\/20260516_sd_sea.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"EV Analytics","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"EV Analytics","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/"},"author":{"name":"EV Analytics","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/person\/b72fb0db8d3ab3531164d4f9fa692c41"},"headline":"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match &#8211; Saturday May 16, 2026","datePublished":"2026-05-16T09:12:05+00:00","dateModified":"2026-05-16T19:57:04+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/"},"wordCount":473,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/mlb\/default\/20260516_sd_sea.png","keywords":["Analysis","Game Breakdown","Game Forecast","Head-To-Head","Insights","Logan Gilbert","Luke Raley","Match","Match Preview","Matchup","MLB","Prediction","Preview","Ramon Laureano","Rankings","San Diego Padres","Score Prediction","Seattle Mariners","Simulation","Team Stats","Walker Buehler","Winning Probability"],"articleSection":["MLB Game Previews"],"inLanguage":"en-US","copyrightYear":"2026","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/","url":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/","name":"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match - Saturday May 16, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/mlb\/default\/20260516_sd_sea.png","datePublished":"2026-05-16T09:12:05+00:00","dateModified":"2026-05-16T19:57:04+00:00","description":"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners on May 16, 2026. Discover team stats, rankings, insights, and winning probability to keep you more informed!","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/mlb\/default\/20260516_sd_sea.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/mlb\/default\/20260516_sd_sea.png","width":800,"height":400},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/winning-probability-and-team-stats-for-padres-vs-mariners-match-saturday-may-16-2026\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Winning Probability and Team Stats for Padres vs Mariners Match &#8211; Saturday May 16, 2026"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#website","url":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/","name":"EV Analytics - WriteNow","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#organization","name":"EV Analytics","url":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"","contentUrl":"","caption":"EV Analytics"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/person\/b72fb0db8d3ab3531164d4f9fa692c41","name":"EV Analytics","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f660ab912ec121d1b1e928a0bb4bc61b15f5ad44d5efdc4e1c92a25e99b8e44a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f660ab912ec121d1b1e928a0bb4bc61b15f5ad44d5efdc4e1c92a25e99b8e44a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f660ab912ec121d1b1e928a0bb4bc61b15f5ad44d5efdc4e1c92a25e99b8e44a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"EV Analytics"},"url":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/author\/evanalytics\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369710","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=369710"}],"version-history":[{"count":61,"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369710\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":370592,"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369710\/revisions\/370592"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/369711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=369710"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=369710"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=369710"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}