{"id":365808,"date":"2026-05-13T02:56:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T06:56:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-best-tigers-vs-mets-picks-and-odds-5-13-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-13T23:03:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T03:03:03","slug":"find-the-best-tigers-vs-mets-picks-and-odds-5-13-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-best-tigers-vs-mets-picks-and-odds-5-13-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Best Tigers vs Mets Picks and Odds &#8211; 5\/13\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/DET.png\" alt=\"Detroit Tigers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Detroit Tigers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYM.png\" alt=\"New York Mets logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+100<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-120<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Detroit Tigers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Framber Valdez &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Framber Valdez (56.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 GB hitters in the opposing team&#8217;s projected batting order.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Zack Short &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme groundball bats like Zack Short are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Christian Scott.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Zack Short).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Christian Scott &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Marcus Semien &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-200\/+155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Marcus Semien is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today&#8217;s game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">New York Mets bats collectively have been one of the best in the league this year (6th-) as it relates to their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.15 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.35 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bo Bichette &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits (+170\/-225)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.1.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets +100O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)-120 Detroit Tigers Insights Framber Valdez &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120) Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Framber Valdez&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":365809,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,156,23,285,203,35,73,33,282,281,674],"class_list":["post-365808","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-christian-scott","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-expert-picks","tag-framber-valdez","tag-mj-melendez","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-spencer-torkelson"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find the Best Tigers vs Mets Picks and Odds - 5\/13\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets on May 13, 2026. 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