{"id":361109,"date":"2026-05-09T03:21:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-09T07:21:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/review-mariners-vs-white-sox-bets-and-betting-trends-saturday-may-9-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-09T14:12:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-09T18:12:04","slug":"review-mariners-vs-white-sox-bets-and-betting-trends-saturday-may-9-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/review-mariners-vs-white-sox-bets-and-betting-trends-saturday-may-9-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Review Mariners vs White Sox Bets and Betting Trends &#8211; Saturday, May 9, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CWS.png\" alt=\"Chicago White Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago White Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-130<\/span><span>O\/U: 9.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luis Castillo &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luis Castillo has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.3 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>J.P. Crawford &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">As it relates to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck since the start of last season.  His .256 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .293.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">It may be best to expect better results for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago White Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Anthony Kay &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">With a 1.4 gap between Anthony Kay&#8217;s 6.00 K\/9 and his 7.40 estimated true talent K\/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it&#8217;s safe to say he&#8217;s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see better results in the future.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value on K prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Andrew Benintendi &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-195\/+150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today&#8217;s game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The 9.4% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox ranks them as the #7 squad in the league this year by this metric.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago White Sox &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.80 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chase Meidroth &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+145\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units \/ 73% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.24.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox -130O\/U: 9.5(-110\/-110)+110 Seattle Mariners Insights Luis Castillo &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+100\/-130) Luis Castillo has been given more leash than the typical pitcher&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":361110,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[352,1068,283,286,287,289,288,284,19,285,457,441,73,282,281,4],"class_list":["post-361109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andrew-benintendi","tag-anthony-kay","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-white-sox","tag-expert-picks","tag-j-p-crawford","tag-luis-castillo","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-seattle-mariners"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Review Mariners vs White Sox Bets and Betting Trends - Saturday, May 9, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox on May 9, 2026. 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