{"id":361075,"date":"2026-05-09T01:54:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-09T05:54:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-trends-for-rays-vs-red-sox-game-5-9-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-09T03:52:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-09T07:52:03","slug":"betting-trends-for-rays-vs-red-sox-game-5-9-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-trends-for-rays-vs-red-sox-game-5-9-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Trends for Rays vs Red Sox Game &#8211; 5\/9\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TB.png\" alt=\"Tampa Bay Rays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+130<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-150<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nick Martinez &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Nick Martinez has utilized his sinker 15.3% more often this season (32.1%) than he did last year (16.8%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chandler Simpson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-230\/+175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tampa Bay Rays &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Tampa Bay Rays bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211;  Moneyline (-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Willson Contreras &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Willson Contreras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.3-mph average to last year&#8217;s 95.8-mph EV.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jarren Duran &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game&#8217;s shallowest LF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.2.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox +130O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-150 Tampa Bay Rays Insights Nick Martinez &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-165) Nick Martinez has utilized his sinker 15.3% more often this&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":361076,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,18,855,285,562,73,520,282,281,25,198],"class_list":["post-361075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-chandler-simpson","tag-expert-picks","tag-jarren-duran","tag-mlb","tag-nick-martinez","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-tampa-bay-rays","tag-willson-contreras"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Betting Trends for Rays vs Red Sox Game - 5\/9\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox on May 9, 2026. 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