{"id":359579,"date":"2026-05-08T00:48:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T04:48:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-best-astros-vs-reds-picks-and-odds-5-8-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T02:07:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T06:07:02","slug":"find-the-best-astros-vs-reds-picks-and-odds-5-8-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-best-astros-vs-reds-picks-and-odds-5-8-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Best Astros vs Reds Picks and Odds &#8211; 5\/8\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/HOU.png\" alt=\"Houston Astros logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Houston Astros<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CIN.png\" alt=\"Cincinnati Reds logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+115<\/span><span>O\/U: 9.5<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Houston Astros Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Houston Astros &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In his previous start, Mike Burrows gave up a staggering 5 earned runs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jose Altuve &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jose Altuve&#8217;s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 84.9-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82.5-mph over the past two weeks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Isaac Paredes &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (47.6% \u2014 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB&#8217;s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nick Lodolo &#8211; Over\/Under Pitching Outs<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Nick Lodolo has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nate Lowe &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.3) may lead us to conclude that Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 20.8 actual HR\/600.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Cincinnati Reds have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Matt McLain).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Houston Astros &#8211; Over\/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.70 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.1.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds +115O\/U: 9.5(+100\/-120)-135 Houston Astros Insights Houston Astros &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115) In his previous start, Mike Burrows gave up a staggering 5&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":359580,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,15,285,29,80,73,475,282,281,1052],"class_list":["post-359579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-expert-picks","tag-houston-astros","tag-isaac-paredes","tag-mlb","tag-nick-lodolo","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-sal-stewart"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find the Best Astros vs Reds Picks and Odds - 5\/8\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds on May 8, 2026. 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