{"id":357599,"date":"2026-05-06T07:13:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T11:13:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-pirates-vs-d-backs-5-06-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T18:32:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T22:32:04","slug":"check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-pirates-vs-d-backs-5-06-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-pirates-vs-d-backs-5-06-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Pirates vs D-Backs – 5\/06\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Arizona<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-130<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>+110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Paul Skenes has utilized his change-up 7.6% more often this year (32.1%) than he did last season (24.5%).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Ryan O’Hearn – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Ryan O’Hearn has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Pittsburgh Pirates (24.1% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-most strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Mike Soroka – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Among all SPs, Michael Soroka’s fastball spin rate of 2503 rpm is in the 90th percentile this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Adrian Del Castillo – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Adrian Del Castillo is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-worst on the slate today).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
      According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Arizona Diamondbacks’ bullpen grades out as the 7th-best out of all MLB teams.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Arizona Diamondbacks – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.00 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.75 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Spencer Horwitz – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1100\/-4000)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Spencer Horwitz has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+7.00 Units \/ 140% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks -130O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)+110 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120) Paul Skenes has utilized his change-up 7.6% more often this year (32.1%) than… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":357600,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[964,20,283,286,287,289,288,284,285,806,73,282,130,281,9,568],"class_list":["post-357599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-adrian-del-castillo","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-mike-soroka","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-paul-skenes","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-ryan-ohearn"],"yoast_head":"\nCheck Out Picks and Betting Guide for Pirates vs D-Backs - 5\/06\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks on May 6, 2026. 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