{"id":355746,"date":"2026-05-05T00:11:01","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T04:11:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/odds-and-betting-trends-for-orioles-vs-marlins-5-5-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T19:17:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T23:17:02","slug":"odds-and-betting-trends-for-orioles-vs-marlins-5-5-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/odds-and-betting-trends-for-orioles-vs-marlins-5-5-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Odds and Betting Trends for Orioles vs Marlins – 5\/5\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Baltimore<\/p>\n

Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Miami<\/p>\n

Miami Marlins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Chris Bassitt – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Compared to the average starter, Chris Bassitt has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an additional 3.8 adjusted pitches each start.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Blaze Alexander – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Blaze Alexander has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 20.2 Expected HR\/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Baltimore Orioles have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colton Cowser, Coby Mayo, Blaze Alexander).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Miami Marlins Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Sandy Alcantara – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Sandy Alcantara’s slider percentage has spiked by 6% from last season to this one (15.8% to 21.8%) .<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Owen Caissie – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      In the last 14 days, Owen Caissie’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The 6.5% Barrel% of the Miami Marlins grades them out as the #29 offense in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Miami Marlins – Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Samuel Basallo – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+530\/-950)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+9.60 Units \/ 160% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins +120O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)-140 Baltimore Orioles Insights Chris Bassitt – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115) Compared to the average starter, Chris Bassitt has been given a longer… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":355747,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[24,283,286,287,289,288,284,206,285,26,73,282,281,826],"class_list":["post-355746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chris-bassitt","tag-expert-picks","tag-miami-marlins","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-sandy-alcantara"],"yoast_head":"\nOdds and Betting Trends for Orioles vs Marlins - 5\/5\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins on May 5, 2026. 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