{"id":353524,"date":"2026-05-03T02:13:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-03T06:13:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/latest-player-stats-for-reds-vs-pirates-sunday-may-3-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-03T13:33:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-03T17:33:03","slug":"latest-player-stats-for-reds-vs-pirates-sunday-may-3-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/latest-player-stats-for-reds-vs-pirates-sunday-may-3-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Latest Player Stats for Reds vs Pirates – Sunday May 3, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Cincinnati<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+100<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-120<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Ranking in the 80th percentile, Chase Burns has notched a 3.4 K\/BB rate since the start of last season.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> K\/BB rate is one of the best measures of a pitcher’s effectiveness in a given season, regardless of his ERA (which is prone to extreme randomness and luck).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    JJ Bleday – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    JJ Bleday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Braxton Ashcraft – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Braxton Ashcraft will average a total of 5.3 strikeouts today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – Run Line -1.0 (+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.65 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units \/ 69% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Bryan Reynolds – Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+21.45 Units \/ 86% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates +100O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-120 Cincinnati Reds Insights Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115) Ranking in the 80th percentile, Chase Burns has notched a 3.4… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":353525,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[931,15,190,73,9,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-353524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-braxton-ashcraft","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-jj-bleday","tag-mlb","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nLatest Player Stats for Reds vs Pirates - Sunday May 3, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates matchup on May 3, 2026. 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