{"id":350892,"date":"2026-05-01T01:23:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T05:23:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-prop-bets-for-reds-vs-pirates-may-1st-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T18:43:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T22:43:02","slug":"player-prop-bets-for-reds-vs-pirates-may-1st-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-prop-bets-for-reds-vs-pirates-may-1st-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Prop Bets for Reds vs Pirates – May 1st, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Cincinnati<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+115<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-115\/-105)<\/span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Brady Singer – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Brady Singer’s sinker utilization has risen by 8.3% from last year to this one (40.8% to 49.1%) .<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Ke’Bryan Hayes – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Ke’Bryan Hayes has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Cincinnati Reds bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Mitch Keller – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Over his last 3 games started, Mitch Keller has suffered a sizeable fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2328 rpm over the entire season to 2276 rpm in recent games.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Oneil Cruz – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Oneil Cruz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.8-mph average to last year’s 97.3-mph average.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Ryan O’Hearn – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Ryan O’Hearn has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.10 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.30 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Bryan Reynolds – Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+22.35 Units \/ 89% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates +115O\/U: 8(-115\/-105)-135 Cincinnati Reds Insights Brady Singer – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125) Brady Singer’s sinker utilization has risen by 8.3% from last year to this… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":350893,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[34,15,73,9,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,568,124],"class_list":["post-350892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-brady-singer","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-mlb","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-ryan-ohearn","tag-spencer-steer"],"yoast_head":"\nPlayer Prop Bets for Reds vs Pirates - May 1st, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates matchup on May 1, 2026. 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