{"id":347489,"date":"2026-04-28T02:07:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T06:07:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/cardinals-vs-pirates-picks-and-betting-odds-4-28-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-28T07:27:03","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T11:27:03","slug":"cardinals-vs-pirates-picks-and-betting-odds-4-28-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/cardinals-vs-pirates-picks-and-betting-odds-4-28-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Cardinals vs Pirates Picks and Betting Odds – 4\/28\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+135<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-115\/-105)<\/span>-155<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Kyle Leahy – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-165\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kyle Leahy in the 11th percentile among all SPs in the majors.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Ivan Herrera – Over\/Under Hits<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Ivan Herrera – Over\/Under Total Bases<\/strong><\/div>\n
    When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Joey Bart – Over\/Under Total Bases<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Joey Bart has strong power (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy doesn’t generate many whiffs (12th percentile K%) \u2014 great news for Bart.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – Run Line -1.5 (+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.85 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.75 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Nick Gonzales – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-215\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates +135O\/U: 8(-115\/-105)-155 St. Louis Cardinals Insights Kyle Leahy – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-165\/+125) When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT)… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":347490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,285,908,1072,73,282,281,9,781,17],"class_list":["post-347489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-ivan-herrera","tag-kyle-leahy","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-spencer-horwitz","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nCardinals vs Pirates Picks and Betting Odds - 4\/28\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 28, 2026. 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