{"id":345106,"date":"2026-04-26T00:23:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-26T04:23:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-stats-for-red-sox-vs-orioles-april-26th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-26T03:12:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-26T07:12:02","slug":"player-stats-for-red-sox-vs-orioles-april-26th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-stats-for-red-sox-vs-orioles-april-26th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Stats for Red Sox vs Orioles &#8211; April 26th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BAL.png\" alt=\"Baltimore Orioles logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+120<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Connelly Early &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Connelly Early will wring up 5.5 strikeouts today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Trevor Story &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Trevor Story has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Marcelo Mayer &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Marcelo Mayer has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) but may find it hard to clear the game&#8217;s 4th-deepest LF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kyle Bradish &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Kyle Bradish has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching an 11.84 K\/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.56 \u2014 a 2.28 K\/9 deviation.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value on K prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Coby Mayo &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Coby Mayo&#8217;s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 90.5-mph EV last season has dropped off to 87.6-mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Baltimore Orioles have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Coby Mayo, Tyler O&#8217;Neill, Blaze Alexander).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.7.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles +120O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-140 Boston Red Sox Insights Connelly Early &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125) The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Connelly Early&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":345107,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[24,18,1047,1009,939,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,749],"class_list":["post-345106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-connelly-early","tag-kyle-bradish","tag-marcelo-mayer","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-trevor-story"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Player Stats for Red Sox vs Orioles - April 26th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles matchup on April 26, 2026. 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