{"id":341180,"date":"2026-04-23T00:46:03","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T04:46:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-brewers-vs-tigers-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-4-23-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T04:42:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T08:42:02","slug":"explore-brewers-vs-tigers-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-4-23-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-brewers-vs-tigers-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-4-23-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore Brewers vs Tigers Expert Picks and Betting Guide &#8211; 4\/23\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/MIL.png\" alt=\"Milwaukee Brewers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/DET.png\" alt=\"Detroit Tigers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Detroit Tigers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+185<\/span><span>O\/U: 7<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-220<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Brandon Sproat &#8211; Over\/Under Pitching Outs<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Brandon Sproat has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 9 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Brandon Lockridge &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Brandon Lockridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luis Matos &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% \u2014 100th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball&#8217;s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Detroit Tigers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tarik Skubal &#8211; Over\/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tarik Skubal has gone to his change-up 5.6% less often this year (25.9%) than he did last season (31.5%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Gleyber Torres &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160\/-205)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">There has been a decrease in Gleyber Torres&#8217;s average exit velocity this year, from 89.8 mph last year to 83.2 mph now<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Detroit grades out as the #2 group of hitters in the majors when it comes to hitting balls between 23\u00b0 and 34\u00b0, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.8% rate this year).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Balls that are hit too low can&#8217;t clear the fences, and balls that are hit too high generally don&#8217;t go far enough and are easy pop flies, but balls hit between 23\u00b0 and 34\u00b0 are far more likely to become home runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+5.15 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Milwaukee Brewers &#8211; Run Line +1.5 (-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.22.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers +185O\/U: 7(+100\/-120)-220 Milwaukee Brewers Insights Brandon Sproat &#8211; Over\/Under Pitching Outs Brandon Sproat has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":341181,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,815,1031,23,285,947,22,73,282,281,348],"class_list":["post-341180","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-brandon-lockridge","tag-brandon-sproat","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-expert-picks","tag-luis-matos","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-tarik-skubal"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Explore Brewers vs Tigers Expert Picks and Betting Guide - 4\/23\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers on April 23, 2026. 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