{"id":339769,"date":"2026-04-22T00:43:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T04:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/cardinals-vs-marlins-best-bets-and-expert-picks-wednesday-april-22-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T03:57:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T07:57:02","slug":"cardinals-vs-marlins-best-bets-and-expert-picks-wednesday-april-22-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/cardinals-vs-marlins-best-bets-and-expert-picks-wednesday-april-22-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Cardinals vs Marlins Best Bets and Expert Picks – Wednesday April 22, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Miami<\/p>\n

Miami Marlins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+115<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Kyle Leahy – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Miami Marlins have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive skill to be a .327, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .097 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .424 wOBA.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% \u2014 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Miami Marlins Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Miami Marlins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Janson Junk performed well in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Agustin Ramirez – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-225\/+170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Agustin Ramirez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Owen Caissie, Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
      <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins +115O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)-135 St. Louis Cardinals Insights Kyle Leahy – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110) The Miami Marlins have 6 bats in the projected lineup that… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":339770,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[937,283,286,287,289,288,284,285,925,724,1072,26,73,68,282,281,17],"class_list":["post-339769","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-agustin-ramirez","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-janson-junk","tag-jordan-walker","tag-kyle-leahy","tag-miami-marlins","tag-mlb","tag-nolan-gorman","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nCardinals vs Marlins Best Bets and Expert Picks - Wednesday April 22, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins on April 22, 2026. 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