{"id":338096,"date":"2026-04-21T01:01:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T05:01:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-cardinals-vs-marlins-4-21-26\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T07:02:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T11:02:04","slug":"check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-cardinals-vs-marlins-4-21-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-cardinals-vs-marlins-4-21-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Cardinals vs Marlins – 4\/21\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Miami<\/p>\n

Miami Marlins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-105<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-115<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    In his last start, Dustin May conceded a whopping 6 earned runs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jordan Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year’s 92.3-mph mark.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% \u2014 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Miami Marlins Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Chris Paddack – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Recording 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Chris Paddack ranks in the 78th percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Connor Norby, Owen Caissie).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+4.90 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.50 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins -105O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)-115 St. Louis Cardinals Insights St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110) In his last start, Dustin May conceded a… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":338097,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,83,285,724,26,73,282,281,17,492],"class_list":["post-338096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chris-paddack","tag-expert-picks","tag-jordan-walker","tag-miami-marlins","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-xavier-edwards"],"yoast_head":"\nCheck Out Picks and Betting Guide for Cardinals vs Marlins - 4\/21\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins on April 21, 2026. 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