{"id":332611,"date":"2026-04-17T07:35:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T11:35:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-top-picks-player-prop-picks-for-blue-jays-vs-d-backs-4-17-26\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T11:37:05","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T15:37:05","slug":"find-the-top-picks-player-prop-picks-for-blue-jays-vs-d-backs-4-17-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-top-picks-player-prop-picks-for-blue-jays-vs-d-backs-4-17-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Top Picks: Player Prop Picks for Blue Jays vs D-Backs – 4\/17\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Toronto<\/p>\n

Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Arizona<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+115<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Eric Lauer – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Eric Lauer’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this season (89.6 mph) below where it was last year (90.9 mph).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Kazuma Okamoto – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Kazuma Okamoto has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Toronto Blue Jays (19.6 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams on the slate.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Nolan Arenado – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.5-mph EV last year has dropped to 84.7-mph.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      Arizona’s 91.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #26 club in MLB since the start of last season by this stat.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Toronto Blue Jays – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.15 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Ildemaro Vargas – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-225\/+170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks +115O\/U: 8.5(-120\/+100)-135 Toronto Blue Jays Insights Eric Lauer – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100) Eric Lauer’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this season (89.6… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":332612,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,893,1070,73,153,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,31],"class_list":["post-332611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-eric-lauer","tag-kazuma-okamoto","tag-mlb","tag-nolan-arenado","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-toronto-blue-jays"],"yoast_head":"\nFind the Top Picks: Player Prop Picks for Blue Jays vs D-Backs - 4\/17\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks matchup on April 17, 2026. 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