{"id":332374,"date":"2026-04-17T03:47:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T07:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-tigers-vs-red-sox-friday-april-17th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T22:07:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T02:07:04","slug":"expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-tigers-vs-red-sox-friday-april-17th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-tigers-vs-red-sox-friday-april-17th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Picks and Betting Line for Tigers vs Red Sox &#8211; Friday April 17th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/DET.png\" alt=\"Detroit Tigers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Detroit Tigers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+110<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-130<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Detroit Tigers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Casey Mize &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In his last game started, Casey Mize was in good form and accumulated 9 strikeouts.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Gleyber Torres &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Gleyber Torres&#8217;s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.8-mph mark last year has fallen to 84.6-mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Gleyber Torres &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Gleyber Torres has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB&#8217;s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ranger Suarez &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tallying 17.8 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Ranger Suarez falls in the 94th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Roman Anthony &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">As it relates to his home runs, Roman Anthony has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season.  His 14.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Statcast-based Expected HR\/600 at 27.7.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Boston Red Sox have done a poor job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls.  Their 12.3\u00b0 angle is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (#28 overall).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn&#8217;t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+6.90 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Trevor Story &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.5.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox +110O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)-130 Detroit Tigers Insights Casey Mize &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120) In his last game started, Casey Mize was in good form and&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":332375,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,18,715,23,285,612,73,282,281,331,214,922],"class_list":["post-332374","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-casey-mize","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-expert-picks","tag-gleyber-torres","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-ranger-suarez","tag-riley-greene","tag-roman-anthony"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Expert Picks and Betting Line for Tigers vs Red Sox - Friday April 17th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox on April 17, 2026. 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