{"id":332303,"date":"2026-04-17T00:35:04","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T04:35:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/get-recommended-player-prop-bets-for-mets-vs-cubs-friday-april-17-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T03:42:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T07:42:02","slug":"get-recommended-player-prop-bets-for-mets-vs-cubs-friday-april-17-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/get-recommended-player-prop-bets-for-mets-vs-cubs-friday-april-17-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Mets vs Cubs – Friday, April 17, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"New<\/p>\n

New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 10.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Kodai Senga – Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kodai Senga to throw 85 pitches in this game (7th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Brett Baty – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-220\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Chicago’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Brett Baty, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The New York Mets have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Robert Jr., Francisco Alvarez, MJ Melendez, Tommy Pham).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Edward Cabrera – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Edward Cabrera in the 78th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Carson Kelly – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-210\/+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      Chicago Cubs bats jointly grade out 5th- in MLB for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 9.9% Barrel%.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Chicago Cubs – Over\/Under 5.5 Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        New York Mets – Over\/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.35 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs +120O\/U: 10.5(-110\/-110)-140 New York Mets Insights Kodai Senga – Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-170\/+130) The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kodai Senga… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":332304,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[821,560,14,353,550,73,33,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-332303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-brett-baty","tag-carson-kelly","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-edward-cabrera","tag-kodai-senga","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nGet Recommended Player Prop Bets for Mets vs Cubs - Friday, April 17, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs matchup on April 17, 2026. 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