{"id":331356,"date":"2026-04-16T00:59:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T04:59:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-royals-vs-tigers-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-4-16-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T14:42:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T18:42:02","slug":"explore-royals-vs-tigers-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-4-16-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-royals-vs-tigers-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-4-16-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore Royals vs Tigers Expert Picks and Betting Guide &#8211; 4\/16\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/KC.png\" alt=\"Kansas City Royals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Kansas City Royals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/DET.png\" alt=\"Detroit Tigers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Detroit Tigers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-120<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+100<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Kansas City Royals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kris Bubic &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher&#8217;s least effective pitch.  Kris Bubic has utilized his non-fastballs 11.7% less often this year (44.4%) than he did last season (56.1%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carter Jensen &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">With a .463 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carter Jensen is positioned in the 100th percentile for offensive skills.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Michael Massey &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% \u2014 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game&#8217;s 10th-deepest RF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Detroit Tigers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Keider Montero was on point in his last game started and conceded 2 ER.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jahmai Jones &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jahmai Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Detroit grades out as the #1 team in the league when it comes to hitting balls between 23\u00b0 and 34\u00b0, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.6% rate since the start of last season).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Balls that are hit too low can&#8217;t clear the fences, and balls that are hit too high generally don&#8217;t go far enough and are easy pop flies, but balls hit between 23\u00b0 and 34\u00b0 are far more likely to become home runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.45 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Vinnie Pasquantino &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-215\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.22.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers -120O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)+100 Kansas City Royals Insights Kris Bubic &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115\/-115) It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":331357,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,134,23,285,5,378,802,552,73,282,281,214],"class_list":["post-331356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-bobby-witt-jr","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-expert-picks","tag-kansas-city-royals","tag-keider-montero","tag-kris-bubic","tag-michael-massey","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-riley-greene"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Explore Royals vs Tigers Expert Picks and Betting Guide - 4\/16\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers on April 16, 2026. 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