{"id":326877,"date":"2026-04-13T00:26:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T04:26:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-the-astros-vs-mariners-best-bets-and-expert-picks-monday-april-13-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T16:17:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T20:17:04","slug":"check-out-the-astros-vs-mariners-best-bets-and-expert-picks-monday-april-13-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-the-astros-vs-mariners-best-bets-and-expert-picks-monday-april-13-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out the Astros vs Mariners Best Bets and Expert Picks – Monday April 13, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Houston<\/p>\n

Houston Astros<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Seattle<\/p>\n

Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+150<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-175<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Houston Astros Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Michael Burrows – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Mike Burrows’s 94.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 76th percentile among all starters.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Yainer Diaz – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Yainer Diaz’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.9-mph figure last season has fallen off to 85.6-mph.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jose Altuve – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% \u2014 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      George Kirby – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-180\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Tallying 92.7 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season on average, George Kirby falls in the 82nd percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Mitch Garver – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Mitch Garver has put up a .168 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Seattle Mariners have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, Mitch Garver).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Seattle Mariners – Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.40 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Josh Naylor – Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners +150O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-175 Houston Astros Insights Michael Burrows – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105) Mike Burrows’s 94.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":326878,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,372,285,370,29,401,73,282,281,4],"class_list":["post-326877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cal-raleigh","tag-expert-picks","tag-george-kirby","tag-houston-astros","tag-jose-altuve","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-seattle-mariners"],"yoast_head":"\nCheck Out the Astros vs Mariners Best Bets and Expert Picks - Monday April 13, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners on April 13, 2026. 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