{"id":326877,"date":"2026-04-13T00:26:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T04:26:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-the-astros-vs-mariners-best-bets-and-expert-picks-monday-april-13-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T06:47:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T10:47:02","slug":"check-out-the-astros-vs-mariners-best-bets-and-expert-picks-monday-april-13-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-the-astros-vs-mariners-best-bets-and-expert-picks-monday-april-13-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out the Astros vs Mariners Best Bets and Expert Picks &#8211; Monday April 13, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/HOU.png\" alt=\"Houston Astros logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Houston Astros<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+145<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-165<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Houston Astros Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Michael Burrows &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Mike Burrows&#8217;s 94.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 76th percentile among all starters.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carlos Correa &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Carlos Correa has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 94.6-mph in the past week.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jose Altuve &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150\/-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (42.7% \u2014 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them towards MLB&#8217;s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>George Kirby &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-165\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tallying 92.9 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season on average, George Kirby falls in the 83rd percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cal Raleigh &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (42.2) suggests that Cal Raleigh has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 48.4 actual HR\/600.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>George Kirby &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.40 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dominic Canzone &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+160\/-210)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Dominic Canzone has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.90 Units \/ 141% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.3.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners +145O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-165 Houston Astros Insights Michael Burrows &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+115) Mike Burrows&#8217;s 94.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":326878,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,372,285,370,29,401,73,282,281,4],"class_list":["post-326877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cal-raleigh","tag-expert-picks","tag-george-kirby","tag-houston-astros","tag-jose-altuve","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-seattle-mariners"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Check Out the Astros vs Mariners Best Bets and Expert Picks - Monday April 13, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners on April 13, 2026. 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