{"id":325590,"date":"2026-04-12T00:01:04","date_gmt":"2026-04-12T04:01:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/learn-about-d-backs-vs-phillies-picks-and-betting-trends-sunday-april-12-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-12T11:52:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T15:52:02","slug":"learn-about-d-backs-vs-phillies-picks-and-betting-trends-sunday-april-12-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/learn-about-d-backs-vs-phillies-picks-and-betting-trends-sunday-april-12-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Learn About D-Backs vs Phillies Picks and Betting Trends – Sunday April 12, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Arizona<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Philadelphia<\/p>\n

Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+130<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-115\/-105)<\/span>-150<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Zac Gallen – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Compared to the average pitcher, Zac Gallen has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an extra 5.6 adjusted pitches each outing.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Nolan Arenado – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150\/-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 86.8-mph mark last year has fallen to 83.9-mph.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    Arizona Diamondbacks hitters jointly rank 10th- in the game for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 9% Barrel%.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Philadelphia Phillies Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Bryce Harper – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-225\/+170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Bryce Harper has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .260 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .288 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Brandon Marsh – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Philadelphia Phillies – Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.90 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Arizona Diamondbacks – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.75 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Alec Bohm – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160\/-210)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Arizona Diamondbacks @ Philadelphia Phillies +130O\/U: 8(-115\/-105)-150 Arizona Diamondbacks Insights Zac Gallen – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-125\/-105) Compared to the average pitcher, Zac Gallen has been given more leash… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":325591,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,283,286,287,289,288,284,285,73,282,32,281,407],"class_list":["post-325590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-picks","tag-zac-gallen"],"yoast_head":"\nLearn About D-Backs vs Phillies Picks and Betting Trends - Sunday April 12, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies on April 12, 2026. 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