{"id":324076,"date":"2026-04-11T04:00:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T08:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/live-updates-on-giants-vs-orioles-4-11-26\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T23:47:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T03:47:04","slug":"live-updates-on-giants-vs-orioles-4-11-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/live-updates-on-giants-vs-orioles-4-11-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Live Updates on Giants vs Orioles &#8211; 4\/11\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BAL.png\" alt=\"Baltimore Orioles logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-120<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>+100<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Logan Webb is an extreme groundball pitcher (54.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards \u2014 the #4 HR venue among all stadiums \u2014 in this game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luis Arraez &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luis Arraez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88-mph average to last season&#8217;s 86-mph average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants&#8217; bullpen projects as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chris Bassitt &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Given the 0.4 deviation between Chris Bassitt&#8217;s 8.61 K\/9 and his 8.21 estimated true talent K\/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it&#8217;s safe to say he&#8217;s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should see negative regression in future games.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value on K prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Taylor Ward &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Bats such as Taylor Ward with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ryan Mountcastle &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165\/-220)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game&#8217;s shallowest RF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.70 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Gunnar Henderson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 RBIs (+210\/-285)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.30 Units \/ 63% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.23.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>San Francisco Giants @ Baltimore Orioles -120O\/U: 7.5(+100\/-120)+100 San Francisco Giants Insights San Francisco Giants &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135) Logan Webb is an extreme groundball pitcher (54.2%&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":324077,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[24,265,206,1042,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,176,273,267,270,424,537,73,263,27,272,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-324076","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-boxscore","tag-chris-bassitt","tag-dylan-beavers","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-leody-taveras","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-logan-webb","tag-luis-arraez","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-san-francisco-giants","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Live Updates on Giants vs Orioles - 4\/11\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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