{"id":319198,"date":"2026-04-07T02:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T06:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/odds-and-betting-trends-for-reds-vs-marlins-4-7-26\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T18:38:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T22:38:04","slug":"odds-and-betting-trends-for-reds-vs-marlins-4-7-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/odds-and-betting-trends-for-reds-vs-marlins-4-7-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Odds and Betting Trends for Reds vs Marlins – 4\/7\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Cincinnati<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Miami<\/p>\n

Miami Marlins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(+100\/-120)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Andrew Abbott – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andrew Abbott has used his off-speed and breaking balls 5.4% less often this year (47.4%) than he did last year (52.8%).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    TJ Friedl – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Since the start of last season, TJ Friedl’s 2.8% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 7th percentile among his peers.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The 7.4% Barrel% of the Cincinnati Reds makes them the #28 club in the game since the start of last season by this stat.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Miami Marlins Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Sandy Alcantara – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Sandy Alcantara’s 96.5-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 95th percentile out of all starters.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Xavier Edwards – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      In comparison to his 86.7-mph average last year, Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.3 mph.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Austin Slater – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Austin Slater hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% \u2014 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Miami Marlins – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.55 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Sandy Alcantara – Over\/Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Sandy Alcantara has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins +120O\/U: 7.5(+100\/-120)-140 Cincinnati Reds Insights Andrew Abbott – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110) Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andrew… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":319199,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[381,476,283,286,287,289,288,284,15,285,26,73,282,281,826,65,492],"class_list":["post-319198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andrew-abbott","tag-austin-slater","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-expert-picks","tag-miami-marlins","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-sandy-alcantara","tag-tj-friedl","tag-xavier-edwards"],"yoast_head":"\nOdds and Betting Trends for Reds vs Marlins - 4\/7\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins on April 7, 2026. 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