{"id":306328,"date":"2026-03-28T00:39:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T04:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/nationals-vs-cubs-best-bets-and-expert-picks-saturday-march-28-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-03-28T16:12:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T20:12:03","slug":"nationals-vs-cubs-best-bets-and-expert-picks-saturday-march-28-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/nationals-vs-cubs-best-bets-and-expert-picks-saturday-march-28-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Nationals vs Cubs Best Bets and Expert Picks – Saturday March 28, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Washington<\/p>\n

Washington Nationals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+205<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-245<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Washington Nationals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Miles Mikolas – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+160\/-210)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Miles Mikolas’s 2217-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 18th percentile out of all SPs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Nasim Nunez – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Nasim Nunez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Washington Nationals – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Washington Nationals bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Cade Horton – Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Cade Horton to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 80 pitches.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Michael Busch – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Michael Busch’s 17% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% \u2014 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-230)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 68 games at home (+19.30 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 93 games (+9.75 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Brady House – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+700\/-1500)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Brady House has hit the Home Runs Over in his last game (+6.90 Units \/ 690% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs +205O\/U: 8.5(-120\/+100)-245 Washington Nationals Insights Miles Mikolas – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+160\/-210) Miles Mikolas’s 2217-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":306329,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,898,14,285,152,73,771,282,484,281,11],"class_list":["post-306328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cade-horton","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-expert-picks","tag-miles-mikolas","tag-mlb","tag-nasim-nunez","tag-odds","tag-pete-crow-armstrong","tag-picks","tag-washington-nationals"],"yoast_head":"\nNationals vs Cubs Best Bets and Expert Picks - Saturday March 28, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs on March 28, 2026. 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