{"id":300286,"date":"2025-10-06T01:24:02","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T05:24:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/discover-odds-and-betting-trends-for-cubs-vs-brewers-10-6-25\/"},"modified":"2025-10-06T23:57:02","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T03:57:02","slug":"discover-odds-and-betting-trends-for-cubs-vs-brewers-10-6-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/discover-odds-and-betting-trends-for-cubs-vs-brewers-10-6-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Discover Odds and Betting Trends for Cubs vs Brewers &#8211; 10\/6\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/MIL.png\" alt=\"Milwaukee Brewers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+115<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Shota Imanaga &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Shota Imanaga (45.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Milwaukee&#8217;s projected batting order.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pete Crow-Armstrong &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dansby Swanson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% \u2014 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game&#8217;s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Aaron Ashby &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Aaron Ashby has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Joseph Ortiz &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Joey Ortiz&#8217;s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90.8-mph EV last season has dropped off to 86.2-mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">It may be best to expect better results for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Milwaukee Brewers &#8211; Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 85 of their last 136 games (+25.65 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 71 of their last 144 games (+10.75 Units \/ 5% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Caleb Durbin &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+165\/-215)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Caleb Durbin has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.05 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.13.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers +115O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-135 Chicago Cubs Insights Shota Imanaga &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-150) Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Shota Imanaga (45.5%&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":300287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1062,283,286,287,289,288,284,14,533,285,22,73,282,484,281,172],"class_list":["post-300286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-aaron-ashby","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-dansby-swanson","tag-expert-picks","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-pete-crow-armstrong","tag-picks","tag-shota-imanaga"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Discover Odds and Betting Trends for Cubs vs Brewers - 10\/6\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers on October 6, 2025. 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