{"id":296914,"date":"2025-09-28T02:06:02","date_gmt":"2025-09-28T06:06:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-rockies-vs-giants-value-bets-and-betting-line-sunday-september-28th-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-28T18:48:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-28T22:48:03","slug":"find-rockies-vs-giants-value-bets-and-betting-line-sunday-september-28th-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-rockies-vs-giants-value-bets-and-betting-line-sunday-september-28th-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Find Rockies vs Giants Value Bets and Betting Line &#8211; Sunday September 28th, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/COL.png\" alt=\"Colorado Rockies logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Colorado Rockies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+250<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-295<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Colorado Rockies on September 28, 2025, both teams are looking to make the most of their remaining games this season. The Giants currently sit at 80-81, having had an average year, while the Rockies are struggling at 43-118, marking a dismal campaign. The Rockies have been particularly poor, as evidenced by their last game, where they were shut out by the Giants, further highlighting their offensive woes.<\/p>\n<p>Logan Webb, the Giants&#8217; projected starter, is having a solid season with a 14-11 record and a commendable <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.30<\/a> ERA. Webb is ranked as the 9th best starting pitcher in MLB, showcasing his elite status among his peers. His ability to generate ground balls (54% GB rate) could play to his advantage against a Rockies lineup that has hit just 160 home runs this season, ranking them 6th least in the league. Additionally, Webb\u2019s low walk rate (5.5% BB) might limit the Rockies&#8217; opportunities, as they are the most impatient team at the plate, drawing the fewest walks in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Colorado&#8217;s McCade Brown has had a rough go this season, with a 0-4 record and a troubling <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">7.54<\/a> ERA. His projections suggest he may only pitch 4.4 innings while allowing 2.5 earned runs, which doesn\u2019t bode well against a Giants lineup that, despite ranking 22nd in overall offense, has the potential to capitalize on Brown&#8217;s struggles.<\/p>\n<p>With the Giants favored heavily in this matchup, the projections indicate they could score around 4.68 runs, while the Rockies are expected to struggle to reach their projected total of 2.82 runs. This game shapes up to be a test for both teams, with the Giants looking to build momentum as the season winds down.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Colorado Rockies Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>McCade Brown &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">McCade Brown wasn&#8217;t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and posted 2 Ks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ezequiel Tovar &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150\/-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme groundball hitters like Ezequiel Tovar generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colorado Rockies &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Colorado Rockies bullpen profiles as the 3rd-worst in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Logan Webb &#8211; Over\/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Compared to the average starting pitcher, Logan Webb has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 8.8 adjusted pitches each start.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Drew Gilbert &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Drew Gilbert has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Heliot Ramos &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball&#8217;s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.70 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colorado Rockies &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 92 of their last 158 games (+17.65 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Rafael Devers &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 RBIs (+135\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.70 Units \/ 67% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.12.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Colorado Rockies on September 28, 2025, both teams are looking to make the most of their remaining games this season. The&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":296915,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,16,285,395,323,799,424,1017,73,282,281,27],"class_list":["post-296914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-colorado-rockies","tag-expert-picks","tag-ezequiel-tovar","tag-heliot-ramos","tag-jung-hoo-lee","tag-logan-webb","tag-mccade-brown","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-san-francisco-giants"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find Rockies vs Giants Value Bets and Betting Line - Sunday September 28th, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants on September 28, 2025. 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