{"id":295874,"date":"2025-09-27T05:43:04","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T09:43:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-dodgers-vs-mariners-9-27-25\/"},"modified":"2025-09-27T21:48:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-28T01:48:03","slug":"find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-dodgers-vs-mariners-9-27-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-dodgers-vs-mariners-9-27-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Dodgers vs Mariners &#8211; 9\/27\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+115<\/span><span>O\/U: 7<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Seattle Mariners prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 27, 2025, both teams find themselves in solid positions as the season winds down. The Mariners, currently 90-70, are battling for a Wild Card spot, while the Dodgers hold a slightly better record at 91-69. This interleague matchup carries significance as the teams vie for momentum heading into the postseason.<\/p>\n<p>In their last encounter, the Dodgers secured a narrow victory against the Mariners, winning 3-2. This close game showcased the pitching strengths of both teams, a theme that could continue today. Mariners&#8217; Logan Gilbert is projected to start, boasting a Power Ranking of 17th among MLB pitchers, and has shown solid form, with a great ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.43<\/a>. Gilbert&#8217;s last start was particularly impressive, allowing just one earned run over six innings. His ability to limit walks (5.8 BB%) could play a pivotal role against a Dodgers offense that walks the second-most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Dodgers&#8217; Tyler Glasnow, ranked 24th, has had a mixed season with a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.30<\/a> ERA but faced challenges in his previous outing, giving up four earned runs in just five innings. While Glasnow has a high strikeout rate (29.2 K%), he may struggle against a Mariners lineup that is striking out at the 6th highest rate in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>With both teams ranking in the top tier for offensive production\u2014Dodgers at 2nd and Mariners at 10th\u2014the matchup promises to be an exciting contest. Despite the Mariners&#8217; lower implied team total of 3.66 runs, their recent performance suggests a potential edge, particularly with Gilbert on the mound. This series is critical for both teams, and fans can expect a closely contested battle as they push towards the end of the regular season.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tyler Glasnow &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tyler Glasnow has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying 3.5 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tommy Edman &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tommy Edman has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 21.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 9.3 Expected HR\/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The underlying talent of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order today (.318 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .331 wOBA this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality.  If today&#8217;s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren&#8217;t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Logan Gilbert &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Logan Gilbert&#8217;s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (37.7 compared to 32.3% last season) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cal Raleigh &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In the last week&#8217;s worth of games, Cal Raleigh&#8217;s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 19.3% up to 38.5%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Seattle Mariners&#8217; bullpen profiles as the 4th-best out of all teams in the majors.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211; Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 28 games at home (+18.95 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.0 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+14.75 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miguel Rojas &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Miguel Rojas has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.14.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Seattle Mariners prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 27, 2025, both teams find themselves in solid positions as the season winds down. The Mariners, currently&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":295875,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[75,100,8,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,4,725,543],"class_list":["post-295874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-eugenio-suarez","tag-logan-gilbert","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-tommy-edman","tag-tyler-glasnow"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Dodgers vs Mariners - 9\/27\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners matchup on September 27, 2025. 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