{"id":29329,"date":"2024-08-03T00:36:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-03T04:36:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-blue-jays-vs-yankees-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-8-3-24\/"},"modified":"2024-08-03T18:33:02","modified_gmt":"2024-08-03T22:33:02","slug":"explore-blue-jays-vs-yankees-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-8-3-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-blue-jays-vs-yankees-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-8-3-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore Blue Jays vs Yankees Expert Picks and Betting Tips &#8211; 8\/3\/24"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYY.png\" alt=\"New York Yankees logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+200<\/span><span>O\/U: 10<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-235<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The New York Yankees will look to bounce back after a disappointing 8-5 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on August 2, 2024. Currently sitting at 65-46, the Yankees are enjoying a strong season and rank 1st in MLB in offensive production. They face a Blue Jays squad that has struggled with a 51-59 record, placing them 19th in overall offensive performance.<\/p>\n<p>Carlos Rodon is projected to take the mound for the Yankees. Despite an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.34<\/a>, advanced metrics suggest he has been somewhat unlucky this season, as indicated by his lower 3.83 SIERA. Rodon has shown promise, averaging 6.1 strikeouts per game, but he will need to improve on allowing 5.0 hits and 1.8 walks per game to effectively contain the Blue Jays&#8217; lineup.<\/p>\n<p>Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays, bringing a solid <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.93<\/a> ERA but a concerning 4.55 xFIP, which suggests he may be due for a downturn. Berrios has been effective in his last outing, allowing just 1 earned run over 7 innings, but his below-average strikeout rate of 4.3 could present opportunities for the Yankees\u2019 powerful hitters, particularly Aaron Judge, who has been on fire recently.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are favored heavily, with a current moneyline of -225 and projections indicating they could score around 6.04 runs in this matchup. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are projected to score approximately 4.47 runs. Given the Yankees&#8217; offensive firepower and Rodon&#8217;s potential to outperform his recent stats, this matchup presents a favorable opportunity for New York to even the series.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jose Berrios &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">This year, Jose Berrios has added a new pitch to his pitch mix (a slider), working it in on 30% of his pitches.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Adding an extra pitch often leads to more success because it makes the pitcher more unpredictable and keeps hitters guessing more, and change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Vladimir Guerrero Jr &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme groundball batters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Davis Schneider &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% \u2014 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball&#8217;s 7th-deepest LF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carlos Rodon &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of all SPs, Carlos Rodon&#8217;s fastball velocity of 94.8 mph is in the 79th percentile this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Anthony Volpe &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-255\/+190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Anthony Volpe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Yankees &#8211;  Moneyline (-235)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Yankees projected batting order projects as the best on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 55 games (+21.10 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+20.45 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ben Rice &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (+160\/-210)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Ben Rice has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.11.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The New York Yankees will look to bounce back after a disappointing 8-5 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on August 2, 2024. Currently sitting at 65-46, the Yankees are&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29330,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[437,283,286,287,289,288,284,575,285,91,73,13,282,281,31,164],"class_list":["post-29329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-anthony-volpe","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-davis-schneider","tag-expert-picks","tag-jose-berrios","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Explore Blue Jays vs Yankees Expert Picks and Betting Tips - 8\/3\/24 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees on August 3, 2024. 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