{"id":291598,"date":"2025-09-24T03:31:02","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T07:31:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/follow-the-live-updates-for-mets-vs-cubs-9-24-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T21:08:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T01:08:03","slug":"follow-the-live-updates-for-mets-vs-cubs-9-24-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/follow-the-live-updates-for-mets-vs-cubs-9-24-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Follow the Live Updates for Mets vs Cubs &#8211; 9\/24\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYM.png\" alt=\"New York Mets logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+100<\/span><span>O\/U: 7<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>-120<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On September 24, 2025, the Chicago Cubs will host the New York Mets in a pivotal matchup at Wrigley Field. Both teams are in the midst of competitive seasons, with the Cubs currently at 88-69 and the Mets sitting at 81-76. This series has significant implications, especially for the Cubs, who are vying for a strong playoff position. In their last game, the Cubs managed a hard-fought victory, solidifying their standing in the National League.<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Boyd, projected to start for the Cubs, enters the game with a solid record of 13-8 and an impressive ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.20<\/a>. However, it&#8217;s worth noting that his 4.18 xFIP suggests he may have been a bit fortunate this season, hinting at potential regression. Boyd\u2019s high flyball rate (40%) could be a concern against a powerful Mets offense that has smacked 218 home runs this year, ranking 5th in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Jonah Tong takes the mound for the Mets. With a less impressive ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">5.94<\/a> and a modest strikeout rate, Tong will face a Cubs lineup that has ranked as the 10th best offense in the league. The projections favor Tong to perform better than his current numbers suggest, but given the Cubs&#8217; strengths, they could exploit his high-walk tendencies. Chicago\u2019s offense is patient and ranks among the top in walks drawn, which could give them an advantage.<\/p>\n<p>Betting markets seem to view this as a close contest, with the Cubs favored at -125. Given the Cubs&#8217; overall stronger performance metrics and recent success, they appear poised to secure another win against the Mets.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211;  Moneyline (+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team on the slate today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tyrone Taylor &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyrone Taylor&#8217;s true offensive skill to be a .300, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .262 wOBA.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Mets bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Matthew Boyd &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Recording 17.4 outs per game per started this year on average, Matthew Boyd falls in the 86th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nico Hoerner &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pete Crow-Armstrong &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% \u2014 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB&#8217;s 5th-deepest RF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 150 games (+14.05 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.55 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Francisco Alvarez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+670\/-1400)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.70 Units \/ 184% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.6.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On September 24, 2025, the Chicago Cubs will host the New York Mets in a pivotal matchup at Wrigley Field. Both teams are in the midst of competitive seasons, with&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":291599,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,560,14,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,1014,308,273,267,270,717,73,33,263,484,272,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-291598","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-carson-kelly","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-jonah-tong","tag-jose-siri","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-matthew-boyd","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-official-lineup","tag-pete-crow-armstrong","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Follow the Live Updates for Mets vs Cubs - 9\/24\/2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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