{"id":289916,"date":"2025-09-23T02:46:03","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T06:46:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/follow-live-updates-on-red-sox-vs-blue-jays-tuesday-september-23rd-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-23T23:42:02","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T03:42:02","slug":"follow-live-updates-on-red-sox-vs-blue-jays-tuesday-september-23rd-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/follow-live-updates-on-red-sox-vs-blue-jays-tuesday-september-23rd-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Follow Live Updates on Red Sox vs Blue Jays &#8211; Tuesday, September 23rd, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+135<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-155<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On September 23, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre in what promises to be an exciting matchup in the American League East. The stakes are high, as the Blue Jays currently hold a solid 90-66 record and are riding a wave of confidence following their most recent victory, while the Red Sox stand at 85-71, looking to keep their momentum going.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays\u2019 offense has been firing on all cylinders, ranking 3rd overall in MLB this season and boasting the 1st best team batting average. With Kevin Gausman projected to start, he brings his above-average credentials to the mound despite a Win\/Loss record of 10-10. Gausman\u2019s strong ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.38<\/a> is complemented by his ability to manage earned runs, projecting to allow only 2.5 runs and strike out 5.8 batters on average today. However, he faces a notable challenge against the Red Sox lineup, which ranks 8th in the league and has been performing well.<\/p>\n<p>Lucas Giolito will take the hill for Boston. While his 10-4 record looks impressive, his <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.46<\/a> ERA alongside a higher xFIP of 4.50 suggests he may not be as reliable as his record indicates. The projections hint at a tough day for Giolito, who is expected to allow 3.0 earned runs and struggle with strikeouts, facing a Blue Jays team that has the 2nd fewest strikeouts in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>With the Blue Jays favored at -165 and an implied team total of 4.44 runs, they hold a distinct advantage in this matchup. The combination of Gausman&#8217;s talent and the Blue Jays&#8217; powerful offense could prove decisive in this crucial game.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211;  Moneyline (+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ceddanne Rafaela &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190\/+145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ceddanne Rafaela&#8217;s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 81.9-mph over the last 7 days.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ceddanne Rafaela &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190\/+145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% \u2014 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB&#8217;s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kevin Gausman &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Kevin Gausman has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 5.5 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Andres Gimenez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) provides evidence that Andres Gimenez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .209 actual batting average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Toronto Blue Jays (19.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today&#8217;s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 142 games (+20.50 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211; Moneyline (+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.50 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nate Lowe &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units \/ 60% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.23.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On September 23, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre in what promises to be an exciting matchup in the American League East.&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":289917,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,265,551,369,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,430,273,267,270,73,263,272,262,260,31,258,269],"class_list":["post-289916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-boxscore","tag-ceddanne-rafaela","tag-daulton-varsho","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-kevin-gausman","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Follow Live Updates on Red Sox vs Blue Jays - Tuesday, September 23rd, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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