{"id":283055,"date":"2025-09-17T01:21:03","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T05:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-prop-bets-for-giants-vs-d-backs-september-17th-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-17T23:52:02","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T03:52:02","slug":"player-prop-bets-for-giants-vs-d-backs-september-17th-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-prop-bets-for-giants-vs-d-backs-september-17th-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Prop Bets for Giants vs D-Backs &#8211; September 17th, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ARI.png\" alt=\"Arizona Diamondbacks logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-110<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face the San Francisco Giants on September 17, 2025, both teams are in the midst of average seasons, with the D-Backs holding a record of 77-75 and the Giants at 75-76. This matchup is crucial as it marks the third game in a series that could impact their standings as they vie for a Wild Card spot.<\/p>\n<p>In their previous game, the Diamondbacks showcased their offensive prowess, with their best hitter contributing significantly, recording 10 hits and 6 RBIs over the last week. This performance is a testament to the D-Backs&#8217; offense, which ranks 5th in MLB, indicating their ability to generate runs effectively. Conversely, the Giants&#8217; offense struggles, sitting at 21st overall. Their lack of production could be a significant factor in this matchup.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, Brandon Pfaadt is projected to start for the Diamondbacks. Despite ranking 162nd among starting pitchers, his 4.00 xFIP suggests he has been somewhat unlucky this season, indicating potential for improvement. Pfaadt&#8217;s recent performances show he averages 5.3 innings pitched and allows 2.8 earned runs, but he struggles with hits and walks. <\/p>\n<p>Justin Verlander, starting for the Giants, has a solid ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.94<\/a>, ranking him 88th among pitchers. However, his 4.54 xFIP indicates he may be due for a downturn. Verlander\u2019s performance will be crucial, especially as he faces a potent Diamondbacks lineup.<\/p>\n<p>With the game total set at 9.0 runs, betting markets expect a close contest, reflected in both teams&#8217; moneylines at -110. The D-Backs&#8217; high implied team total of 4.50 runs suggests they may have the edge in this matchup, particularly given their offensive capabilities against a struggling Giants&#8217; lineup.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211;  Moneyline (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team in action today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Willy Adames &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In the past week&#8217;s worth of games, Willy Adames&#8217;s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Justin Verlander &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Brandon Pfaadt &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Throwing 92.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt places in the 79th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>James McCann &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195\/+150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">James McCann has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year&#8217;s 86.9-mph average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Arizona Diamondbacks hitters as a group grade out 9th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 9.3% Barrel%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Arizona Diamondbacks &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 64 games at home (+23.35 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.35 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ketel Marte &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.4.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face the San Francisco Giants on September 17, 2025, both teams are in the midst of average seasons, with the D-Backs holding a record&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":283056,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,340,323,666,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,27],"class_list":["post-283055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-brandon-pfaadt","tag-heliot-ramos","tag-justin-verlander","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-san-francisco-giants"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Player Prop Bets for Giants vs D-Backs - September 17th, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks matchup on September 17, 2025. 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