{"id":279750,"date":"2025-09-14T06:37:05","date_gmt":"2025-09-14T10:37:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/review-betting-odds-and-picks-for-yankees-vs-red-sox-sunday-september-14-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-14T21:28:05","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T01:28:05","slug":"review-betting-odds-and-picks-for-yankees-vs-red-sox-sunday-september-14-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/review-betting-odds-and-picks-for-yankees-vs-red-sox-sunday-september-14-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Review Betting Odds and Picks for Yankees vs Red Sox &#8211; Sunday, September 14, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYY.png\" alt=\"New York Yankees logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+130<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>-150<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox will host the New York Yankees on September 14, 2025, in a crucial American League East matchup that carries significant weight as both teams vie for playoff positioning. The Red Sox, currently at 81-68, are having an above-average season, while the Yankees sit at 83-65, enjoying a solid campaign. In their last meeting, the Yankees emerged victorious with a 5-3 win, adding pressure on the Red Sox to bounce back at Fenway Park.<\/p>\n<p>Projected to start for the Red Sox is Garrett Crochet, who boasts an impressive 15-5 record and an elite ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">2.57<\/a> this season. Crochet is coming off a stellar performance where he pitched 7 innings, struck out 10 batters, and allowed no earned runs. His high strikeout rate (30.9 K%) and ability to induce ground balls (49 GB%) could give him an edge against a Yankees offense that ranks 4th in strikeouts but also possesses the league&#8217;s most powerful lineup, with 251 home runs this season.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Will Warren, slated to start for the Yankees, has an average record of 8-6 and a higher ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.22<\/a>. While he pitched well in his last outing, going 6 innings with 2 earned runs, his projections indicate he may struggle against the Red Sox&#8217;s potent offense, which ranks 8th overall in MLB. The projections suggest that the Red Sox could capitalize on Warren&#8217;s tendency to allow hits, as he is expected to give up an average of 5.1 hits today.<\/p>\n<p>Given the Red Sox&#8217;s strong offensive performance and Crochet&#8217;s elite status as a starting pitcher, they are positioned as the betting favorite with a moneyline of -155. Meanwhile, the Yankees, despite their powerful lineup, are seen as underdogs with a moneyline of +135. This game promises to be an exciting showdown as both teams look to solidify their playoff hopes.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Will Warren &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of all SPs, Will Warren&#8217;s fastball spin rate of 2571 rpm ranks in the 99th percentile this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jazz Chisholm &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Yankees &#8211;  Moneyline (+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Yankees projected batting order projects as the 2nd-best on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Garrett Crochet &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Garrett Crochet has been given an above-average leash this year, throwing 8.7 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Rob Refsnyder &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Rob Refsnyder has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 103.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 93-mph average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Boston Red Sox bullpen projects as the 10th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211; Moneyline (-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.50 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Yankees &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+15.00 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cody Bellinger &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.35 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.10.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Boston Red Sox will host the New York Yankees on September 14, 2025, in a crucial American League East matchup that carries significant weight as both teams vie for&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":279751,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[489,283,286,287,289,288,284,18,285,326,73,13,1045,282,281,811],"class_list":["post-279750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-amed-rosario","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-expert-picks","tag-garrett-crochet","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-nick-sogard","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-will-warren"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Review Betting Odds and Picks for Yankees vs Red Sox - Sunday, September 14, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox on September 14, 2025. 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