{"id":264986,"date":"2025-09-03T04:17:03","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T08:17:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-odds-and-picks-for-braves-vs-cubs-9-03-25\/"},"modified":"2025-09-03T19:43:20","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T23:43:20","slug":"betting-odds-and-picks-for-braves-vs-cubs-9-03-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-odds-and-picks-for-braves-vs-cubs-9-03-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Odds and Picks for Braves vs Cubs &#8211; 9\/03\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Atlanta Braves logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+125<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-150<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Chicago Cubs prepare to face the Atlanta Braves on September 3, 2025, the stakes are high for the Cubs, who currently sit at 80-59, firmly in the playoff race. With the Cubs enjoying a strong season and their offense ranked 9th in MLB, they look to build momentum after winning their last matchup against the Braves 4-3. Conversely, the Braves, at 62-77, have struggled all season and are not in contention for the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>Cade Horton is set to take the mound for the Cubs. He comes off a solid performance in his last start on August 29, when he pitched 5 innings, allowing just 2 earned runs, 4 strikeouts, and 6 hits. Despite being ranked 109th among starting pitchers in MLB, his impressive <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">2.92<\/a> ERA indicates he has had a good year, although his 4.37 xFIP suggests he may be due for some regression. The projections indicate he will pitch around 4.7 innings today, with an average of 2.3 earned runs allowed.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Braves&#8217; Bryce Elder has been having a rough season, holding a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">5.85<\/a> ERA and ranking among the worst pitchers in the league. However, Elder did show flashes of brilliance in his last start, going 7 innings with only 1 earned run against the competition. He projects to pitch about 5.2 innings today but is expected to allow an average of 2.9 earned runs.<\/p>\n<p>The Cubs will be looking to capitalize on their offensive advantages against a struggling Braves pitching staff. With an implied team total of 4.35 runs, they are favored to win this matchup. As the two teams clash, the Cubs will aim to keep their winning momentum rolling, while the Braves continue to seek consistency amid a challenging season.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bryce Elder &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Over his last 3 GS, Bryce Elder has suffered a substantial fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2082 rpm over the entire season to 2015 rpm lately.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Drake Baldwin &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Drake Baldwin has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ozzie Albies &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150\/-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (41.1% \u2014 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball&#8217;s 5th-deepest RF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cade Horton &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Compared to league average, Cade Horton has been granted a below-average leash this year, throwing an -12.0 fewer adjusted pitches each start.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seiya Suzuki &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme groundball batters like Seiya Suzuki are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Chicago grades out as the #1 group of hitters in the league when it comes to hitting balls between 23\u00b0 and 34\u00b0, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.7% rate this year).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Balls that are hit too low can&#8217;t clear the fences, and balls that are hit too high generally don&#8217;t go far enough and are easy pop flies, but balls hit between 23\u00b0 and 34\u00b0 are far more likely to become home runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+15.05 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.15 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dansby Swanson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.10.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Chicago Cubs prepare to face the Atlanta Braves on September 3, 2025, the stakes are high for the Cubs, who currently sit at 80-59, firmly in the playoff&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":264987,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10,283,286,287,289,288,284,499,898,14,285,556,769,73,282,444,281],"class_list":["post-264986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-bryce-elder","tag-cade-horton","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-expert-picks","tag-ignacio-alvarez","tag-kyle-tucker","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-ozzie-albies","tag-picks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Betting Odds and Picks for Braves vs Cubs - 9\/03\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs on September 3, 2025. 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