{"id":264940,"date":"2025-09-03T03:04:03","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T07:04:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-official-lineup-for-blue-jays-vs-reds-9-03-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-03T23:52:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T03:52:03","slug":"find-the-official-lineup-for-blue-jays-vs-reds-9-03-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-official-lineup-for-blue-jays-vs-reds-9-03-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Official Lineup for Blue Jays vs Reds &#8211; 9\/03\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CIN.png\" alt=\"Cincinnati Reds logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-150<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-105\/-115)<\/span><span>+130<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to host the Toronto Blue Jays on September 3, 2025, they find themselves in a challenging position. The Reds currently sit at 70-69, having lost to the Blue Jays in a high-scoring affair yesterday, 12-9. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are soaring with an 80-59 record, showcasing their strength as one of the top teams in baseball.<\/p>\n<p>The matchup features two right-handed pitchers: Zack Littell for the Reds and Shane Bieber for the Blue Jays. Littell, ranked 137th among MLB starters, has had an average season with a Win\/Loss record of 9-8 and a commendable ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.63<\/a>. However, his xFIP of 4.33 suggests he may have been fortunate, indicating potential struggles ahead. Littell projects to pitch 5.3 innings while allowing 3.2 earned runs, which could prove problematic against a potent Blue Jays lineup.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, Shane Bieber, currently ranked 32nd among MLB starters, brings a stellar <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">2.38<\/a> ERA into this game. With a record of 1-1 and a solid projection of 5.5 innings pitched, he is expected to allow just 2.5 earned runs. The projections suggest that Bieber could be poised for an even better outing, given his favorable xFIP of 1.69.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds&#8217; offense ranks 16th overall but struggles with power, placing 24th in home runs. In contrast, the Blue Jays boast one of the best offenses in the league, ranking 2nd overall and leading in batting average. With the Reds&#8217; bullpen ranked 23rd and the Blue Jays&#8217; bullpen at 7th, the latter&#8217;s depth could be a decisive factor in this game.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Shane Bieber &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">With 6 bats who share his hand in the opposing team&#8217;s projected offense, Shane Bieber should benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Daulton Varsho &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In terms of his home runs, Daulton Varsho has been very fortunate this year.  His 53.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Statcast-based Expected HR\/600 at 39.9.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bo Bichette &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Bo Bichette has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball&#8217;s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Zack Littell &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Among all starting pitchers, Zack Littell&#8217;s fastball spin rate of 2009 rpm is in the 8th percentile this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Matt McLain &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Matt McLain is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today&#8217;s game, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Cincinnati Reds have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls.  Their 16.2\u00b0 mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (#3 overall).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn&#8217;t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 111 games (+22.15 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 71 of their last 121 games (+22.50 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>TJ Friedl &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.15.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to host the Toronto Blue Jays on September 3, 2025, they find themselves in a challenging position. The Reds currently sit at 70-69, having lost&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":264941,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[137,265,15,369,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,273,267,270,825,73,263,272,1013,262,260,31,258,269,358],"class_list":["post-264940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bo-bichette","tag-boxscore","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-daulton-varsho","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-matt-mclain","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-shane-bieber","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather","tag-zack-littell"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find the Official Lineup for Blue Jays vs Reds - 9\/03\/2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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