{"id":257936,"date":"2025-08-29T06:03:06","date_gmt":"2025-08-29T10:03:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-props-analysis-for-d-backs-vs-dodgers-friday-august-29th-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-29T22:14:04","modified_gmt":"2025-08-30T02:14:04","slug":"player-props-analysis-for-d-backs-vs-dodgers-friday-august-29th-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-props-analysis-for-d-backs-vs-dodgers-friday-august-29th-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Props Analysis for D-Backs vs Dodgers &#8211; Friday August 29th, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ARI.png\" alt=\"Arizona Diamondbacks logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+185<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-115\/-105)<\/span><span>-220<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Dodger Stadium on August 29, 2025, in the first game of a crucial series. The Dodgers currently sit at 77-57, enjoying a strong season, while the Diamondbacks are at 66-69, having an average year. The Dodgers are positioned well in the playoff race, making this matchup significant.<\/p>\n<p>In their previous game, the Dodgers showcased their offensive prowess, winning decisively and continuing to rank as the 3rd best offense in MLB. They are also 4th in team batting average and 2nd in home runs, highlighting their power at the plate. The projections suggest that the Dodgers could score nearly 5 runs today, which aligns with their offensive capabilities.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, Blake Snell is projected to start for the Dodgers. Snell has been impressive this season, holding a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">1.97<\/a> ERA and ranking as the 26th best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating his elite status. However, he does struggle with control, as evidenced by his 11.1 BB%. This aspect could be pivotal against a Diamondbacks lineup that ranks 6th in walks drawn. Snell&#8217;s projected stats today include 5.5 innings pitched and 2.6 earned runs allowed, which may set the stage for a competitive outing.<\/p>\n<p>For the Diamondbacks, Zac Gallen will take the mound. Gallen has faced challenges this season, with a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">5.13<\/a> ERA and a 9-13 record. His projections suggest he will pitch 5.0 innings and allow 3.3 earned runs, which might not hold up against the potent Dodgers lineup. <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Arizona Diamondbacks &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Zac Gallen has been unlucky this year, posting a 5.13 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.34 \u2014 a 0.79 deviation.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ketel Marte &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ketel Marte has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph dropping to 81.8-mph in the last week&#8217;s worth of games.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">It may be smart to expect worse results for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in the game this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Blake Snell &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Blake Snell&#8217;s fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (94.8 mph) below where it was last year (95.8 mph).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Andy Pages &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Andy Pages is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#2-best of all teams on the slate).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team&#8217;s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers&#8217; bullpen profiles as the 5th-best out of all teams in the majors.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.35 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Arizona Diamondbacks &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 107 games (+11.00 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Shohei Ohtani &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (+140\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+7.95 Units \/ 88% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.11.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Dodger Stadium on August 29, 2025, in the first game of a crucial series. The Dodgers currently sit at 77-57,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":257937,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[337,20,409,516,8,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,407],"class_list":["post-257936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andy-pages","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-blake-snell","tag-ketel-marte","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-zac-gallen"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Player Props Analysis for D-Backs vs Dodgers - Friday August 29th, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers matchup on August 29, 2025. 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