{"id":256934,"date":"2025-08-28T02:34:03","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T06:34:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/weather-forecast-for-braves-vs-phillies-august-28-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-28T18:52:03","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T22:52:03","slug":"weather-forecast-for-braves-vs-phillies-august-28-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/weather-forecast-for-braves-vs-phillies-august-28-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather Forecast for Braves vs Phillies &#8211; August 28, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Atlanta Braves logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/PHI.png\" alt=\"Philadelphia Phillies logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+145<\/span><span>O\/U: 10<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-170<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves on August 28, 2025, in a crucial National League East matchup. The Phillies currently sit at 76-57, enjoying a solid season, while the Braves, with a record of 61-72, find themselves in a disappointing position. In their last games, the Phillies suffered a shutout loss to the Braves by a score of 6-0, while the Braves cruised to a dominant 12-1 victory. This series opener presents an opportunity for the Phillies to bounce back and assert their dominance in the division.<\/p>\n<p>Aaron Nola is projected to take the mound for Philadelphia, despite a Win\/Loss record of 2-7 this season and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">6.52<\/a>, indicating he&#8217;s had a rough go. However, his advanced stats suggest he may have been unlucky, as his xFIP of 3.60 projects a more favorable performance ahead. Nola showed signs of improvement in his last start on August 23, where he pitched 6 innings, allowing just 2 earned runs.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Cal Quantrill is slated to start for Atlanta. With a Win\/Loss record of 4-11 and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">5.51<\/a>, he also has struggled this season. His projections indicate a challenging outing, with an average of only 4.4 innings pitched and 3.1 earned runs allowed.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies\u2019 offense ranks as the 8th best in MLB and boasts the 3rd highest batting average, which should provide ample support against a Braves team that has struggled offensively, ranking 14th overall. With the Phillies&#8217; strong bullpen, ranked 2nd overall, they are well-positioned to capitalize on their favorable matchup and secure a victory in this high-stakes game.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cal Quantrill &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Cal Quantrill has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 9 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ronald Acuna Jr. &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">As it relates to his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has been lucky this year.  His .301 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Atlanta Braves &#8211;  Moneyline (+145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Atlanta Braves projected lineup projects as the 4th-best of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Philadelphia Phillies Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Aaron Nola &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Aaron Nola&#8217;s change-up rate has spiked by 5.1% from last year to this one (9.6% to 14.7%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>J.T. Realmuto &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-245\/+185)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Philadelphia Phillies &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen projects as the 2nd-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Philadelphia Phillies &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 94 games (+17.01 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+7.75 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jurickson Profar &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+370\/-560)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Jurickson Profar has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+16.00 Units \/ 160% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.5.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves on August 28, 2025, in a crucial National League East matchup. The Phillies currently sit at 76-57, enjoying a solid season, while the&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":256935,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[291,10,265,46,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,273,267,270,73,447,263,444,32,272,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-256934","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-aaron-nola","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-boxscore","tag-cal-quantrill","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mlb","tag-nick-castellanos","tag-official-lineup","tag-ozzie-albies","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather Forecast for Braves vs Phillies - August 28, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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