{"id":242359,"date":"2025-08-17T07:00:07","date_gmt":"2025-08-17T11:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/learn-about-mariners-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-trends-sunday-august-17-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-17T19:17:04","modified_gmt":"2025-08-17T23:17:04","slug":"learn-about-mariners-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-trends-sunday-august-17-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/learn-about-mariners-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-trends-sunday-august-17-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Learn About Mariners vs Mets Picks and Betting Trends &#8211; Sunday August 17, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYM.png\" alt=\"New York Mets logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-120<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>+100<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On August 17, 2025, the New York Mets will host the Seattle Mariners at BB&#038;T Ballpark in what promises to be an exciting interleague matchup. The Mets are looking to build on their recent victory over the Mariners, having won their last game 3-1. Both teams are enjoying above-average seasons, with the Mets sitting at 65-58 and the Mariners at 68-56.<\/p>\n<p>Pitching will be a key factor in this game, as the Mets are set to start Clay Holmes, who has had a mixed season with a 9-6 record and a solid 3.71 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>. However, he has struggled with control, evidenced by his high walk rate of 9.6%. On the other hand, George Kirby, projected to start for the Mariners, is having a standout season with an 8-5 record and a 3.71 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>. Kirby has displayed excellent command, reflected in his low walk rate of 5.9%, making him a tough matchup for the Mets.<\/p>\n<p>From an offensive standpoint, the Mets rank 11th in MLB, but their batting average sits at a disappointing 20th. They have power in their lineup, ranking 8th in home runs. Meanwhile, the Mariners boast the 12th best offense overall and are 3rd in home runs, showcasing their ability to hit for power. The projections suggest that while the Mets may struggle to capitalize on walks, they could benefit from Kirby&#8217;s tendency to limit those free passes.<\/p>\n<p>With a game total set at 8.5 runs, sportsbooks have given the Mariners a slight edge with a moneyline of -125 compared to the Mets at +105. As both teams vie for a victory, this matchup could swing either way, especially with the Mets looking to capitalize on their recent success against Seattle.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>George Kirby &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">George Kirby has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Josh Naylor &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+550\/-1000)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Josh Naylor has averaged 29.2 steals per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile for base-stealing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Seattle Mariners hitters collectively have been one of the best in the majors this year (6th-) as it relates to their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Clay Holmes &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Seattle Mariners have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Juan Soto &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-215\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Soto as the 19th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average ability.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.  Batting average is the most common measure of a player&#8217;s ability to generate hits.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Mark Vientos &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Today, Mark Vientos is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.3% rate (99th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+4.80 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 104 games (+7.70 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Juan Soto &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 RBIs (+185\/-245)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.80 Units \/ 109% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.7.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On August 17, 2025, the New York Mets will host the Seattle Mariners at BB&#038;T Ballpark in what promises to be an exciting interleague matchup. The Mets are looking to&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":242360,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,819,285,370,457,157,73,33,282,281,4],"class_list":["post-242359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-clay-holmes","tag-expert-picks","tag-george-kirby","tag-j-p-crawford","tag-mark-vientos","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-seattle-mariners"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Learn About Mariners vs Mets Picks and Betting Trends - Sunday August 17, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets on August 17, 2025. 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