{"id":242156,"date":"2025-08-17T04:20:04","date_gmt":"2025-08-17T08:20:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-the-game-breakdown-yankees-vs-cardinals-team-stats-and-insights-8-17-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-17T14:17:03","modified_gmt":"2025-08-17T18:17:03","slug":"explore-the-game-breakdown-yankees-vs-cardinals-team-stats-and-insights-8-17-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-the-game-breakdown-yankees-vs-cardinals-team-stats-and-insights-8-17-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore the Game Breakdown: Yankees vs Cardinals Team Stats and Insights – 8\/17\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"New<\/p>\n

New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-155<\/span>O\/U: 9
(+100\/-120)<\/span>+135<\/span><\/div>\n

On August 17, 2025, the St. Louis Cardinals will host the New York Yankees for the third game of their interleague series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals enter the matchup with a record of 61-63, showcasing an average season, while the Yankees, at 66-57, are enjoying an above-average campaign and currently sit in a stronger position in the standings. In their previous encounter, the Yankees topped the Cardinals 12-8, adding momentum to their success.<\/p>\n

Miles Mikolas is projected to take the mound for the Cardinals. Despite an ERA of 4.97<\/a> and a subpar Power Ranking at 188th among MLB starters, Mikolas recently pitched well in a 7-inning outing, allowing only 2 earned runs. However, he faces a daunting challenge against a Yankees offense that ranks 2nd best in MLB this season\u2014optimized by their league-leading 195 home runs. Mikolas has struggled with fly balls this year, which could be particularly harmful against such a powerhouse offense.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, Will Warren is slated to start for the Yankees, boasting a better Win\/Loss record of 7-5 and a respectable 4.34<\/a> ERA. Warren\u2019s projection reflects his potential to outperform his ERA, as indicated by a 3.60 xFIP, suggesting he could improve further. Both pitchers project to allow a high number of hits, but Warren\u2019s slightly higher strikeout projection might give him the edge.<\/p>\n

Given the current odds, St. Louis is an underdog with a moneyline of +125, while New York stands as the favorite at -150. The Cardinals are known for their below-average offense, ranked 20th overall, which could make scoring against the Yankees\u2019 strong bullpen a challenge. With a high game total set at 9.0 runs, betting strategies will need to consider the pitching matchup closely.<\/p>\n

New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Will Warren – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Recording 14.7 outs per GS this year on average, Will Warren falls in the 22nd percentile.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Aaron Judge – Over\/Under 1.5 Hits (+165\/-220)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    As it relates to his batting average ability, Aaron Judge is projected as the 4th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    New York Yankees – Moneyline (-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The New York Yankees projected lineup grades out as the 2nd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Miles Mikolas – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Miles Mikolas has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 6.3% more often this season (55.3%) than he did last season (49%).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Nolan Gorman – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      St. Louis Cardinals bats jointly place 21st- in the league for power this year when judging by their 8% Barrel%.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+8.95 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.25 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Aaron Judge – Over\/Under 1.5 Hits (+165\/-220)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+5.55 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        On August 17, 2025, the St. Louis Cardinals will host the New York Yankees for the third game of their interleague series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals enter the matchup… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":242157,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,374,250,248,251,241,242,249,243,152,73,13,68,246,239,240,253,245,17,252,811,244],"class_list":["post-242156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-ben-rice","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-miles-mikolas","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-nolan-gorman","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-simulation","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-team-stats","tag-will-warren","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"\nExplore the Game Breakdown: Yankees vs Cardinals Team Stats and Insights - 8\/17\/2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals on August 17, 2025. 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