{"id":237419,"date":"2025-08-13T04:54:03","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T08:54:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/see-picks-and-betting-line-for-cubs-vs-blue-jays-wednesday-august-13-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-13T23:52:03","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T03:52:03","slug":"see-picks-and-betting-line-for-cubs-vs-blue-jays-wednesday-august-13-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/see-picks-and-betting-line-for-cubs-vs-blue-jays-wednesday-august-13-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"See Picks and Betting Line for Cubs vs Blue Jays &#8211; Wednesday, August 13, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+115<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Chicago Cubs on August 13, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup. Both teams are having strong seasons, with the Blue Jays at 70-50 and the Cubs at 67-51. The stakes are high as the Blue Jays look to solidify their playoff position, while the Cubs aim to keep pace in a competitive race.<\/p>\n<p>In their last game, the Cubs fell to the Blue Jays 6-3, a result that showcased Toronto&#8217;s potent offense, which ranks 2nd in MLB. This offensive power could pose a challenge for Cubs&#8217; starter Cade Horton, who has been projected to struggle against teams with low strikeout rates like the Blue Jays. Gausman, on the other hand, has had an average season, currently holding a 3.85 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>. However, he has shown moments of brilliance and is expected to pitch 5.5 innings today, allowing 3.0 earned runs on average.<\/p>\n<p>Cade Horton enters the game with a solid 3.18 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a> but his 4.41 xFIP suggests he may be due for some regression. He projects for only 4.9 innings today, which is a concerning sign against a high-powered Toronto lineup. With the Blue Jays ranking 1st in batting average, they have the potential to capitalize on Horton&#8217;s low strikeout rate.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays&#8217; bullpen is ranked 3rd in MLB, adding another layer of difficulty for the Cubs as they look to rally late in the game. Given the projections and the current form of both teams, Toronto&#8217;s offense could prove too much for Chicago, especially considering the Cubs&#8217; bullpen ranks 20th. With a game total set at 8.5 runs, bettors may lean toward the Blue Jays, who have an implied team total of 4.45 runs.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cade Horton &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher&#8217;s least effective pitch.  Cade Horton has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.1% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dansby Swanson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-180\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Dansby Swanson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The 10.2% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs makes them the #4 offense in the game this year by this metric.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Toronto Blue Jays &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In his previous start, Kevin Gausman was rolling and conceded 2 ER.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Daulton Varsho &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Daulton Varsho has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Vladimir Guerrero Jr &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% \u2014 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting out towards baseball&#8217;s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Toronto Blue Jays &#8211; Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 69 games (+18.80 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games (+6.65 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pete Crow-Armstrong &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units \/ 65% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.23.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Chicago Cubs on August 13, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup. Both teams are having strong seasons, with the&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":237420,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,898,14,533,369,285,73,282,281,31,164],"class_list":["post-237419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cade-horton","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-dansby-swanson","tag-daulton-varsho","tag-expert-picks","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>See Picks and Betting Line for Cubs vs Blue Jays - Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays on August 13, 2025. 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