{"id":230458,"date":"2025-08-08T05:29:03","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T09:29:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-rockies-vs-d-backs-8-08-25\/"},"modified":"2025-08-08T23:57:03","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T03:57:03","slug":"check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-rockies-vs-d-backs-8-08-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-rockies-vs-d-backs-8-08-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Rockies vs D-Backs &#8211; 8\/08\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/COL.png\" alt=\"Colorado Rockies logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Colorado Rockies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ARI.png\" alt=\"Arizona Diamondbacks logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+180<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-115\/-105)<\/span><span>-210<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face off against the Colorado Rockies on August 8, 2025, playoff implications are minimal for both teams, with the Diamondbacks sitting at 54-61 and the Rockies struggling at 30-84. While the D-Backs are having a below-average season, the Rockies are grappling with one of the worst records in MLB, making this matchup more about pride than contention.<\/p>\n<p>The game marks the first in a series between these two teams, and each squad will send a starter with contrasting narratives to the mound. Zac Gallen, the projected starter for the Diamondbacks, has had a rough year with an 8-12 record and a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">5.48<\/a> ERA. However, advanced projections suggest he has been unlucky, as his 4.04 xFIP indicates he could perform better moving forward. Gallen is poised to pitch an average of 6.1 innings today but projects to allow 2.7 earned runs, which is above average.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, Colorado\u2019s Austin Gomber has struggled significantly, holding a 0-5 record with a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">6.18<\/a> ERA. His projections suggest he will pitch around 5.2 innings and could give up 3.2 earned runs. Gomber&#8217;s low walk percentage means he could limit the Diamondbacks&#8217; ability to capitalize on their patience at the plate, as Arizona ranks 4th in walks this season.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks&#8217; offense ranks as the 4th best in MLB, boasting impressive power with a rank of 7th in home runs. Meanwhile, the Rockies\u2019 offense is a stark contrast, sitting at 25th overall. Arizona has a high implied team total of 5.40 runs for this matchup while Colorado is projected at just 3.60 runs.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Colorado Rockies Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Austin Gomber &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tallying 14.6 outs per game per started this year on average, Austin Gomber places in the 16th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Brenton Doyle &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Brenton Doyle has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colorado Rockies &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies&#8217; bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst out of all the teams in MLB.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Zac Gallen &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Due to his reverse platoon split, Zac Gallen will have a disadvantage squaring off against 7 hitters in the projected batting order who share his hand in today&#8217;s outing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Geraldo Perdomo &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Geraldo Perdomo has been lucky this year, posting a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 \u2014 a .042 difference.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>James McCann &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% \u2014 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB&#8217;s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Arizona Diamondbacks &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 98 games (+13.00 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colorado Rockies &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 108 games (+14.02 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Adael Amador &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Adael Amador has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.60 Units \/ 65% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.14.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face off against the Colorado Rockies on August 8, 2025, playoff implications are minimal for both teams, with the Diamondbacks sitting at 54-61 and&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":230459,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,338,283,286,287,289,288,284,16,285,459,876,509,73,282,281,407],"class_list":["post-230458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-austin-gomber","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-colorado-rockies","tag-expert-picks","tag-geraldo-perdomo","tag-hunter-goodman","tag-james-mccann","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-zac-gallen"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Rockies vs D-Backs - 8\/08\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks on August 8, 2025. 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