{"id":227601,"date":"2025-08-05T06:34:04","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T10:34:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-predictions-for-cardinals-vs-dodgers-august-5-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-05T22:02:03","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T02:02:03","slug":"player-predictions-for-cardinals-vs-dodgers-august-5-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-predictions-for-cardinals-vs-dodgers-august-5-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Predictions for Cardinals vs Dodgers &#8211; August 5, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/STL.png\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+155<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>-175<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the St. Louis Cardinals on August 5, 2025, in a matchup that carries significant implications as both teams look to solidify their positions. The Dodgers currently hold a strong record of 65-48, showcasing their status as one of the league&#8217;s top contenders, while the Cardinals sit at a more average 57-57.<\/p>\n<p>In their last game, the Dodgers secured a victory against the Cardinals, continuing a trend of solid performances. The Dodgers boast the 2nd best offense in MLB, highlighted by their impressive total of 165 home runs this season. This firepower could be particularly advantageous against Cardinals pitcher Miles Mikolas, who has struggled this year and is ranked among the worst in the league. Mikolas, a high-flyball pitcher with a 40% flyball rate, will need to navigate a potent Dodgers lineup that thrives on power.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound for the Dodgers will be Emmet Sheehan, who has shown promise despite a 2-2 record and a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.60<\/a> ERA this season. His advanced rankings place him as the 52nd best starting pitcher, indicating he is a solid option, even as projections suggest he could face challenges today. Sheehan is projected to pitch 4.5 innings while allowing an average of 2.3 earned runs, which is fairly average. <\/p>\n<p>The Dodgers&#8217; bullpen also ranks 6th in MLB, providing further support should Sheehan encounter trouble. In contrast, the Cardinals&#8217; bullpen is ranked 12th, which is average, reflecting a potential edge for the Dodgers in late-game scenarios. <\/p>\n<p>With a high game total of 9.0 runs, the Dodgers are favored with a moneyline of -185, indicating strong confidence in their ability to capitalize on their offensive advantages. With the stakes high, the Dodgers will look to continue their momentum against a Cardinals team that will need a strong outing from Mikolas to keep pace.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miles Mikolas &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher&#8217;s least effective pitch.  Miles Mikolas has used his off-speed and breaking balls 6.2% more often this season (55.2%) than he did last season (49%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nolan Gorman &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme flyball batters like Nolan Gorman tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Lars Nootbaar &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.3% \u2014 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league&#8217;s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Emmet Sheehan &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of all starting pitchers, Emmet Sheehan&#8217;s fastball spin rate of 2436 rpm grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dalton Rushing &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Dalton Rushing has strong power (75th percentile) if he makes contact, but that&#8217;s usually a big &#8220;IF&#8221; (28.4% K%).  Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) \u2014 great news for Rushing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> If he is less likely to strikeout, he&#8217;ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211;  Moneyline (-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units \/ 83% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>St. Louis Cardinals &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+11.15 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alec Burleson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-210\/+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.30 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.5.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the St. Louis Cardinals on August 5, 2025, in a matchup that carries significant implications as both teams look to solidify their positions. The&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":227602,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[952,498,8,152,73,68,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,17,39],"class_list":["post-227601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-emmet-sheehan","tag-lars-nootbaar","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-miles-mikolas","tag-mlb","tag-nolan-gorman","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-teoscar-hernandez"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Player Predictions for Cardinals vs Dodgers - August 5, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers matchup on August 5, 2025. 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