{"id":226282,"date":"2025-08-04T05:43:02","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T09:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/cardinals-vs-dodgers-matchup-preview-and-score-prediction-8-04-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-08-04T23:57:02","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T03:57:02","slug":"cardinals-vs-dodgers-matchup-preview-and-score-prediction-8-04-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/cardinals-vs-dodgers-matchup-preview-and-score-prediction-8-04-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Cardinals vs Dodgers Matchup Preview and Score Prediction &#8211; 8\/04\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/STL.png\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+150<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-170<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On August 4, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Dodger Stadium for the first game of their series. The Dodgers currently hold a strong position with a record of 65-47, while the Cardinals sit at 56-57, indicating an average season. Despite the Cardinals&#8217; efforts, they are not contending for a playoff spot, making this matchup crucial for Los Angeles as they aim to solidify their position.<\/p>\n<p>In their previous game, the Dodgers showcased their offensive prowess, highlighted by their ranking as the 2nd best offense in MLB this season. They are also 4th in team batting average and 2nd in home runs. With their best hitter recently going 12-for-25 with a .480 batting average and 1.319 OPS over the last week, the Dodgers appear poised to capitalize on the Cardinals&#8217; pitching.<\/p>\n<p>Tyler Glasnow is projected to start for the Dodgers, bringing a 1-1 record and a solid <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.38<\/a> ERA this season. While Glasnow&#8217;s 4.57 FIP suggests he may have been somewhat fortunate, his ability to strike out 6.4 batters on average gives him an edge against the Cardinals&#8217; lineup. Sonny Gray, the Cardinals&#8217; starter, has a 10-5 record and a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.38<\/a> ERA, although his underlying metrics indicate he\u2019s been unlucky, with a 2.94 xFIP suggesting better days ahead.<\/p>\n<p>The Dodgers are favored with a moneyline of -185 and an implied team total of 4.57 runs. Conversely, the Cardinals, facing a daunting challenge, hold a moneyline of +160 and a low implied team total of 3.43 runs. With the Dodgers&#8217; elite offense and Glasnow on the mound, they seem to have the upper hand in this matchup.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Sonny Gray &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Sonny Gray&#8217;s 91.1-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.2-mph fall off from last season&#8217;s 92.3-mph figure.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Willson Contreras &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Willson Contreras has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95.9-mph over the past two weeks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Lars Nootbaar &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% \u2014 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting out towards the league&#8217;s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tyler Glasnow &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Generating 13.3 outs per GS this year on average, Tyler Glasnow falls in the 5th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Mookie Betts &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has been unlucky given the .057 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211;  Moneyline (-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games at home (+10.55 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>St. Louis Cardinals &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+9.20 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Michael Conforto &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+165\/-220)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Michael Conforto has hit the Walks Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.75 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.10.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On August 4, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Dodger Stadium for the first game of their series. The Dodgers currently hold a strong&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":226283,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,250,248,251,241,498,8,242,249,243,73,648,246,239,240,253,245,67,17,252,543,198,244],"class_list":["post-226282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-lars-nootbaar","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-mookie-betts","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-simulation","tag-sonny-gray","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-team-stats","tag-tyler-glasnow","tag-willson-contreras","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Cardinals vs Dodgers Matchup Preview and Score Prediction - 8\/04\/2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on August 4, 2025. 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