{"id":212256,"date":"2025-07-13T03:25:05","date_gmt":"2025-07-13T07:25:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-the-top-player-prop-picks-for-nationals-vs-brewers-sunday-july-13-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-07-13T14:07:03","modified_gmt":"2025-07-13T18:07:03","slug":"check-out-the-top-player-prop-picks-for-nationals-vs-brewers-sunday-july-13-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-the-top-player-prop-picks-for-nationals-vs-brewers-sunday-july-13-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out the Top Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs Brewers – Sunday, July 13, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Washington<\/p>\n

Washington Nationals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Milwaukee<\/p>\n

Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+230<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-105\/-115)<\/span>-275<\/span><\/div>\n

On July 13, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the Washington Nationals at American Family Field for the third game of their series. The Brewers, boasting a solid record of 55-40, are firmly in the playoff mix, while the Nationals sit at 38-57, struggling to find their footing this season. The Brewers won the previous game in a nail-biting finish, edging out the Nationals 6-5 on July 12.<\/p>\n

Freddy Peralta is projected to take the mound for Milwaukee, and his performance has been a key factor in the Brewers’ success. Ranked as the 37th best starting pitcher in MLB, Peralta has a Win\/Loss record of 10-4 and an impressive ERA of 2.74<\/a>. His last outing on July 7 showcased his dominance as he pitched 6 innings, allowing no earned runs while striking out 7 batters. However, his xFIP of 3.98 suggests that he may have been a bit fortunate this season, indicating room for regression moving forward.<\/p>\n

In contrast, Jake Irvin will start for Washington. While he has a decent Win\/Loss record of 7-4, his ERA of 4.78<\/a> and poor projections, including a 5.43 xERA, imply he has struggled against stronger lineups. Irvin’s last start saw him surrender 4 earned runs over 6 innings, raising concerns about his effectiveness against a potent Brewers offense that ranks 17th overall in MLB.<\/p>\n

Despite the Brewers’ average offensive ranking, they have excelled in stolen bases, ranking 2nd in the league. They are favored heavily in this matchup, with a moneyline of -260 and an implied team total of 5.21 runs. Conversely, the Nationals are listed as underdogs at +220, with a low implied team total of 3.29 runs. With Peralta on the mound and the Brewers’ recent momentum, they appear poised to continue their winning ways against a struggling Nationals squad.<\/p>\n

Washington Nationals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Jake Irvin – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jake Irvin’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (47.3% compared to 41.7% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Paul DeJong – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Paul DeJong is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Washington Nationals – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Washington Nationals’ bullpen ranks as the 3rd-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Freddy Peralta – Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Among all SPs, Freddy Peralta’s fastball spin rate of 2449 rpm ranks in the 85th percentile this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Brice Turang – Over\/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+350\/-520)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Grading out in the 91st percentile for base-stealing, Brice Turang has paced 28.4 stolen bases per 600 plate appearances this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      William Contreras – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% \u2014 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-275)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.60 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.65 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Sal Frelick – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        On July 13, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the Washington Nationals at American Family Field for the third game of their series. The Brewers, boasting a solid record of… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":212257,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[421,195,126,22,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,11,335],"class_list":["post-212256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-brice-turang","tag-jake-irvin","tag-josh-bell","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-washington-nationals","tag-william-contreras"],"yoast_head":"\nCheck Out the Top Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs Brewers - Sunday, July 13, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers matchup on July 13, 2025. 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