{"id":209378,"date":"2025-07-11T00:49:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T04:49:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-props-preview-for-cubs-vs-yankees-7-11-25\/"},"modified":"2025-07-11T20:33:03","modified_gmt":"2025-07-12T00:33:03","slug":"player-props-preview-for-cubs-vs-yankees-7-11-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-props-preview-for-cubs-vs-yankees-7-11-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Props Preview for Cubs vs Yankees – 7\/11\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"New<\/p>\n

New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+145<\/span>O\/U: 9
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-165<\/span><\/div>\n

On July 11, 2025, the New York Yankees will host the Chicago Cubs at Yankee Stadium in a highly anticipated Interleague matchup. Both teams are in solid form, with the Yankees sitting at 52-41, while the Cubs boast a 55-38 record. The Yankees are coming off a strong performance, having recently claimed victory in their last game, showcasing their high-powered offense, which ranks 1st in MLB. <\/p>\n

The Yankees will send Carlos Rodon to the mound, a left-handed pitcher who has had a decent season with a 9-6 record and a 3.30 ERA<\/a>. Rodon\u2019s strikeout ability (28.3 K%) will be tested against the Cubs, who rank as the 5th least strikeout-prone offense in MLB. This matchup favors the Cubs, as Rodon may struggle to capitalize on his strength against a disciplined lineup.<\/p>\n

On the other side, the Cubs will counter with Chris Flexen, a right-handed pitcher projected to have a rough outing. While Flexen\u2019s 5-0 record and excellent 0.83 ERA<\/a> look impressive, the projections indicate he may have been fortunate. His 4.50 xFIP suggests that he could be due for a regression, especially against a Yankees lineup that leads MLB in home runs.<\/p>\n

The Yankees\u2019 offense, which ranks 1st overall, is capable of putting runs on the board quickly. With an implied team total of 5.10 runs, they are favored in this matchup, especially considering Flexen’s low-strikeout and high-hit projections. <\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Chris Flexen is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #6 HR venue among all parks in this game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Kyle Tucker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of all teams today).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Carlos Rodon – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Carlos Rodon has utilized his four-seamer 9.3% less often this season (40.1%) than he did last season (49.4%).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Paul Goldschmidt – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-235\/+180)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
      According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees’ bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in baseball.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.77 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 90 games (+11.05 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Jazz Chisholm – Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        On July 11, 2025, the New York Yankees will host the Chicago Cubs at Yankee Stadium in a highly anticipated Interleague matchup. Both teams are in solid form, with the… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":209379,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[374,86,14,383,769,73,13,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-209378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-ben-rice","tag-carlos-rodon","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-chris-flexen","tag-kyle-tucker","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nPlayer Props Preview for Cubs vs Yankees - 7\/11\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees matchup on July 11, 2025. 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