{"id":208460,"date":"2025-07-10T00:52:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-10T04:52:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/get-the-cubs-vs-twins-injury-report-thursday-july-10-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-07-10T17:57:02","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T21:57:02","slug":"get-the-cubs-vs-twins-injury-report-thursday-july-10-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/get-the-cubs-vs-twins-injury-report-thursday-july-10-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Get the Cubs vs Twins Injury Report &#8211; Thursday, July 10, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/MIN.png\" alt=\"Minnesota Twins logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Minnesota Twins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-115<\/span><span>O\/U: 9.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-105<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On July 10, 2025, the Minnesota Twins will host the Chicago Cubs in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup at Target Field. The Cubs currently hold a strong record of 54-38, positioning themselves among the top teams in MLB, while the Twins sit at 45-47, reflecting an average season thus far. Notably, the Cubs come into this game fresh off a thrilling victory yesterday, which adds to the momentum they\u2019ve been building.<\/p>\n<p>The pitching matchup features Chris Paddack for the Twins, who has struggled this season with a 3-7 record and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.64<\/a>. Projections suggest he will pitch about 5.0 innings, allowing an average of 3.1 earned runs, which indicates a challenging outing could be in store. Paddack\u2019s low strikeout rate (17.0 K%) could be a concern against a Cubs offense that ranks 3rd in MLB, showcasing their power with 137 home runs this season.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Colin Rea, projected to start for the Cubs, has a better record of 6-3 and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.13<\/a>, although his underlying metrics suggest he may have been a bit fortunate this year. Rea&#8217;s projections indicate he will pitch around 5.2 innings and allow 3.3 earned runs on average. While his strikeout numbers are below average, he faces a Twins offense that ranks just 18th overall, further enhancing his chances.<\/p>\n<p>With a high Game Total of 9.5 runs, this matchup leans towards a competitive scoring affair. The Twins&#8217; bullpen, ranked 10th in MLB, could play a key role in keeping the game close, especially as they look to capitalize on the Cubs&#8217; slight vulnerabilities. Bettors might find value in the Twins, who have a moneyline of +105, reflecting a close contest ahead.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colin Rea &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Colin Rea&#8217;s four-seam fastball rate has increased by 25.2% from last season to this one (19.9% to 45.1%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carson Kelly &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season&#8217;s 91.4-mph figure.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211;  Moneyline (-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The 3rd-best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Minnesota Twins Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Minnesota Twins &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In his previous game started, Chris Paddack conceded a staggering 9 earned runs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Matt Wallner &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Matt Wallner is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#2-best of the day).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team&#8217;s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Minnesota&#8217;s 89.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in the game: #8 overall.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Minnesota Twins &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.95 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; Moneyline (-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nico Hoerner &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1100\/-4000)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+35.00 Units \/ 438% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.21.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On July 10, 2025, the Minnesota Twins will host the Chicago Cubs in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup at Target Field. The Cubs currently hold a strong&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":208461,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,85,14,83,184,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,273,267,270,12,73,263,272,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-208460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-byron-buxton","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-chris-paddack","tag-colin-rea","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-minnesota-twins","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Get the Cubs vs Twins Injury Report - Thursday, July 10, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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