{"id":207072,"date":"2025-07-09T01:22:03","date_gmt":"2025-07-09T05:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/phillies-vs-giants-bets-and-betting-trends-7-09-25\/"},"modified":"2025-07-09T23:37:02","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T03:37:02","slug":"phillies-vs-giants-bets-and-betting-trends-7-09-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/phillies-vs-giants-bets-and-betting-trends-7-09-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Phillies vs Giants Bets and Betting Trends &#8211; 7\/09\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/PHI.png\" alt=\"Philadelphia Phillies logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-135<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+115<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants will host the Philadelphia Phillies on July 9, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing National League clash. The Giants, currently 51-42, are having an above-average season, while the Phillies sit at 53-39, showcasing a great performance thus far. In their last encounter, the Giants edged out the Phillies 4-3, adding a bit of momentum to their side as they look to capitalize on this series.<\/p>\n<p>Starting for the Giants is Justin Verlander, who has struggled this season with a 0-6 record and a below-average ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.84<\/a>. His latest outing on July 4 saw him allowing 6 earned runs over just 3 innings, raising concerns about his current form. Despite being ranked 135th among starting pitchers, suggesting he has been unlucky according to his 4.27 FIP, Verlander will need to find a way to keep the Phillies&#8217; potent offense at bay.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Jesus Luzardo is projected to take the mound for the Phillies. With a much better Win\/Loss record of 7-5 and an average ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.44<\/a>, Luzardo has shown signs of consistency. His last start was rocky as well, giving up 5 earned runs in just 2 innings, but he still ranks as the 40th best pitcher in MLB. <\/p>\n<p>From an offensive perspective, the Phillies rank 10th in MLB, while the Giants struggle significantly, sitting 24th. The projections suggest that while the Giants might put up a fight, the Phillies, with their superior hitting and a bullpen ranked 27th, could exploit the Giants&#8217; weaknesses. The Game Total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating a competitive matchup ahead. With the Giants&#8217; implied team total at 3.81 runs, there\u2019s potential for an upset, but they\u2019ll need their bats to wake up against a solid contender.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Philadelphia Phillies Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jesus Luzardo &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jesus Luzardo&#8217;s 95.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 88th percentile out of all starting pitchers.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Trea Turner &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 9th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.  Batting average is the most common measure of a player&#8217;s ability to generate hits.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Philadelphia Phillies &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen profiles as the 4th-worst in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Justin Verlander is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #27 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jung Hoo Lee &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jung Hoo Lee has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Heliot Ramos &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Heliot Ramos has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game&#8217;s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+11.85 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.60 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bryson Stott &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000\/-4000)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+4.00 Units \/ 100% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.24.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The San Francisco Giants will host the Philadelphia Phillies on July 9, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing National League clash. The Giants, currently 51-42, are having an&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":207073,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,285,323,799,666,73,282,32,281,27,332],"class_list":["post-207072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-heliot-ramos","tag-jung-hoo-lee","tag-justin-verlander","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-picks","tag-san-francisco-giants","tag-trea-turner"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Phillies vs Giants Bets and Betting Trends - 7\/09\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants on July 9, 2025. 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