{"id":202179,"date":"2025-07-05T05:45:07","date_gmt":"2025-07-05T09:45:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/discover-current-player-trends-for-giants-vs-athletics-saturday-july-05-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-07-05T22:12:03","modified_gmt":"2025-07-06T02:12:03","slug":"discover-current-player-trends-for-giants-vs-athletics-saturday-july-05-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/discover-current-player-trends-for-giants-vs-athletics-saturday-july-05-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Discover Current Player Trends for Giants vs Athletics &#8211; Saturday July 05, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATH.png\" alt=\"Athletics logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Athletics<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-180<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>+155<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Oakland Athletics will host the San Francisco Giants on July 5, 2025, in the second game of their interleague matchup at Sutter Health Park. The Athletics are struggling this season with a record of 37-53, while the Giants are performing better at 47-42. In their last encounter, the Athletics fell short against the Giants, which adds pressure to their upcoming game.<\/p>\n<p>Luis Severino is projected to start for the Athletics, bringing with him a dismal 2-9 record and a 5.09 ERA this season. His performance has been characterized by an average outing, with projections suggesting he could pitch around 5.6 innings and give up 3.3 earned runs, which could spell trouble against a solid Giants lineup. Despite his performance, advanced stats indicate he has faced some bad luck as evidenced by his FIP of 4.31, suggesting potential for improvement.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, the Giants will counter with Logan Webb, an elite pitcher ranked 5th in MLB, boasting a 2.61 ERA and a 7-6 record this season. Webb\u2019s ability to pitch effectively for 6.6 innings while allowing just 2.3 earned runs showcases his prowess on the mound. His projected strikeouts of 7.4 indicate he could dominate a struggling Athletics offense that ranks a mediocre 13th overall in the league.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, the Athletics have the 1st ranked bullpen, which could be pivotal if Severino can keep the game close early on. The Giants, despite a weak offensive ranking of 24th, have been known to capitalize on opposing pitchers&#8217; weaknesses. With a high Game Total of 9.0 runs, the expectations are set for a competitive matchup.<\/p>\n<p>Given the current betting landscape, with the Athletics listed as underdogs at +160 and the Giants favored at -185, there could be value in taking the Giants to win, especially considering they are projected to score a high average of 5.14 runs based on the odds.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Logan Webb &#8211; Over\/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Logan Webb has relied on his slider 5.7% more often this year (27%) than he did last season (21.3%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dominic Smith &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195\/+150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.2) provides evidence that Dominic Smith has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 10.9 actual HR\/600.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Matt Chapman &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In today&#8217;s matchup, Matt Chapman is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (97th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Athletics Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luis Severino &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luis Severino&#8217;s 95.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1-mph drop off from last year&#8217;s 96.1-mph mark.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tyler Soderstrom &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Athletics have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Denzel Clarke, Zack Gelof, Nicholas Kurtz).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+7.00 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.45 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Heliot Ramos &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.20 Units \/ 78% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.10.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Oakland Athletics will host the San Francisco Giants on July 5, 2025, in the second game of their interleague matchup at Sutter Health Park. The Athletics are struggling this&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":202180,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[796,149,424,279,528,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,27,760],"class_list":["post-202179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-athletics","tag-dominic-smith","tag-logan-webb","tag-luis-severino","tag-matt-chapman","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-san-francisco-giants","tag-tyler-soderstrom"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Discover Current Player Trends for Giants vs Athletics - Saturday July 05, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics matchup on July 5, 2025. 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