{"id":198188,"date":"2025-07-02T03:13:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-02T07:13:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/brewers-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-trends-7-02-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-07-02T22:08:03","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T02:08:03","slug":"brewers-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-trends-7-02-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/brewers-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-trends-7-02-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Brewers vs Mets Picks and Betting Trends &#8211; 7\/02\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/MIL.png\" alt=\"Milwaukee Brewers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYM.png\" alt=\"New York Mets logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-115<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-105<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets clash in the second game of their double-header at Citi Field, following a decisive 12-1 win for the Brewers in the first matchup. Both teams are enjoying solid seasons, with the Mets sitting at 48-38 and the Brewers just slightly ahead at 48-37. As the playoff race heats up, both teams are looking to secure key victories.<\/p>\n<p>For the Mets, Huascar Brazoban will take the mound. Despite his #187 ranking among starting pitchers according to advanced stats, Brazoban has shown some promise in relief this season, holding a solid 3.83 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>. However, his projections indicate he may struggle today, averaging just 1.5 innings pitched while allowing 0.7 earned runs and 1.3 hits. His high groundball rate of 51% could play well against a Brewers offense that has been lacking power, ranking 25th in homers this season.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Jacob Misiorowski, with a 1.13 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>, is projected to pitch longer\u2014around 4.2 innings\u2014but his stats suggest he has been somewhat lucky, as his xFIP sits at 3.22. Misiorowski is off to a strong start, boasting a perfect 3-0 record this season, and his last outing was impressive, going 5 innings without allowing any earned runs.<\/p>\n<p>Offensively, the Mets rank 7th in MLB for team offense and 7th in home runs, signaling their ability to score in bunches. In contrast, the Brewers rank 17th overall and have a mediocre batting average. However, Milwaukee\u2019s strength lies in their base-running, with the 2nd most stolen bases in the league.<\/p>\n<p>As the teams gear up for this crucial game, the Mets&#8217; offense looks to capitalize on their home-field advantage, while the Brewers aim to continue their momentum from the first game. With betting markets reflecting a close contest, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jacob Misiorowski &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Christian Yelich &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme flyball batters like Christian Yelich usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Blade Tidwell.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Rhys Hoskins &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (41.1% \u2014 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them towards baseball&#8217;s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ronny Mauricio &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Over the past 14 days, Ronny Mauricio&#8217;s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Placing 3rd-least steep in Major League Baseball this year, New York Mets bats collectively have recorded a 11.6\u00b0 launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (a reliable stat to study power ability).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn&#8217;t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+7.10 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Milwaukee Brewers &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 78 games (+15.35 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Rhys Hoskins &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+560\/-1000)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Rhys Hoskins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+7.60 Units \/ 190% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.7.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets clash in the second game of their double-header at Citi Field, following a decisive 12-1 win for the Brewers in the first matchup.&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":198189,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,185,285,917,157,22,73,33,282,281,553],"class_list":["post-198188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-christian-yelich","tag-expert-picks","tag-jacob-misiorowski","tag-mark-vientos","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-rhys-hoskins"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Brewers vs Mets Picks and Betting Trends - 7\/02\/2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets on July 2, 2025. 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