{"id":196725,"date":"2025-07-01T02:00:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-01T06:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/uncover-the-game-forecast-athletics-vs-rays-match-preview-7-1-25\/"},"modified":"2025-07-01T19:37:02","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T23:37:02","slug":"uncover-the-game-forecast-athletics-vs-rays-match-preview-7-1-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/uncover-the-game-forecast-athletics-vs-rays-match-preview-7-1-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Uncover the Game Forecast: Athletics vs Rays Match Preview &#8211; 7\/1\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATH.png\" alt=\"Athletics logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Athletics<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TB.png\" alt=\"Tampa Bay Rays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+150<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-105\/-115)<\/span><span>-170<\/span><\/div>\n<p>On July 1, 2025, the Tampa Bay Rays will host the Oakland Athletics at George M. Steinbrenner Field for the second game of their series. Tampa Bay currently holds a solid record of 47-38 and is enjoying a strong season, while Oakland struggles significantly at 35-52. The Rays are not only contending for a playoff spot but also boast the 8th best offense in MLB, highlighted by their 2nd best team batting average. In contrast, the Athletics rank 14th in offensive production and have a below-average team in terms of stolen bases.<\/p>\n<p>In their last matchup, the Rays emerged victorious, adding to their momentum. Tampa Bay is projected to start Shane Baz, who has been above average this season, ranking as the 66th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics. Baz has a Win\/Loss record of 8-3 and a slightly above-average ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.37<\/a>. He projects to pitch 5.8 innings today, allowing 2.4 earned runs and striking out an average of 6.2 batters. However, his projections also indicate a concerning 4.9 hits and 1.8 walks allowed.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Oakland will counter with Jeffrey Springs, who is having a rough year, with a Win\/Loss record of 6-6 and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.30<\/a>. Springs is projected to pitch 5.2 innings, allowing 3.1 earned runs while striking out only 4.5 batters, which is below average. Both pitchers are facing offenses that have shown contrasting abilities, making this matchup particularly intriguing.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays enter this game as betting favorites with a moneyline of -165, reflecting their projected team total of 4.74 runs. The Athletics, now considered underdogs at +145, have an implied team total of 3.76 runs. With the Rays&#8217; potent offense and a solid bullpen ranking 6th in MLB, they appear well-positioned to continue their winning ways against a struggling Athletics squad.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Athletics Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jeffrey Springs &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Jeffrey Springs (36.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today&#8217;s game with 3 FB hitters in Tampa Bay&#8217;s projected lineup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Brent Rooker &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme groundball batters like Brent Rooker usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Athletics (27.9% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams on the slate.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today&#8217;s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Shane Baz &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Shane Baz&#8217;s curveball usage has jumped by 9.1% from last year to this one (20.5% to 29.6%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Josh Lowe &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Josh Lowe is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tampa Bay Rays &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Tampa Bay Rays bullpen grades out as the 9th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tampa Bay Rays &#8211; Moneyline (-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.28 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 56 games (+4.90 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nick Kurtz &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Nick Kurtz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.20.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On July 1, 2025, the Tampa Bay Rays will host the Oakland Athletics at George M. Steinbrenner Field for the second game of their series. Tampa Bay currently holds a&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":196726,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,796,95,250,248,251,241,613,719,242,249,243,73,246,239,240,253,438,245,25,252,244],"class_list":["post-196725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-athletics","tag-brent-rooker","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-jeffrey-springs","tag-jonathan-aranda","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-shane-baz","tag-simulation","tag-tampa-bay-rays","tag-team-stats","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Uncover the Game Forecast: Athletics vs Rays Match Preview - 7\/1\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays on July 1, 2025. 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