{"id":193744,"date":"2025-06-28T00:02:02","date_gmt":"2025-06-28T04:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/score-prediction-and-insights-for-athletics-vs-yankees-match-june-28-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-28T15:48:02","modified_gmt":"2025-06-28T19:48:02","slug":"score-prediction-and-insights-for-athletics-vs-yankees-match-june-28-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/score-prediction-and-insights-for-athletics-vs-yankees-match-june-28-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Score Prediction and Insights for Athletics vs Yankees Match &#8211; June 28, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATH.png\" alt=\"Athletics logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Athletics<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYY.png\" alt=\"New York Yankees logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+240<\/span><span>O\/U: 9.5<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-290<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The New York Yankees will host the Oakland Athletics on June 28, 2025, in the second game of their series. The Yankees are currently enjoying a strong season with a record of 47-34, ranking 2nd in the American League. In contrast, the Athletics are struggling at 33-51, sitting well below .500. In their last matchup on June 27, the Yankees secured a 3-0 victory, continuing their momentum as they aim to solidify their playoff positioning.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, the Yankees are projected to start Clarke Schmidt, who has had an impressive season with a 2.84 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a> and a solid Win\/Loss record of 4-3 over 12 starts. Schmidt&#8217;s last outing was particularly noteworthy, as he pitched a remarkable 7-inning no-hitter on June 21. His ability to strike out 6.3 batters per game and limit earned runs will be critical against an Athletics lineup that ranks as the 12th best in MLB offensively but has struggled to find consistency.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, Oakland will send JP Sears to the hill. Sears has had a rough season with a 5.44 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a> and a Win\/Loss record of 5-7 across 16 starts. His tendency to allow 3.3 earned runs on average could be problematic, especially against a Yankees offense that ranks 2nd in the league in runs scored and home runs. The Yankees are expected to capitalize on Sears&#8217;s high flyball rate, which could translate into extra runs.<\/p>\n<p>With the Yankees being significant favorites with a moneyline of -255, they are projected to score around 5.79 runs, while the Athletics are expected to struggle with an implied total of just 3.71 runs. As the Yankees look to extend their winning streak, they will aim to exploit the weaknesses of Sears and continue their dominance at Yankee Stadium.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Athletics Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>JP Sears &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">JP Sears has relied on his slider 6.3% more often this year (40.1%) than he did last year (33.8%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Brent Rooker &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luis Urias &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Today, Luis Urias is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.3% rate (96th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Yankees &#8211;  Moneyline (-290)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>DJ LeMahieu &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195\/+150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">DJ LeMahieu has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks&#8217; worth of games.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Clarke Schmidt &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+18.10 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Athletics &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.07 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Aaron Judge &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (-205\/+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.30 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.16.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The New York Yankees will host the Oakland Athletics on June 28, 2025, in the second game of their series. The Yankees are currently enjoying a strong season with a&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":193745,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,796,250,248,251,241,54,242,249,243,73,13,246,239,240,253,245,252,244],"class_list":["post-193744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-athletics","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-jp-sears","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-simulation","tag-team-stats","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Score Prediction and Insights for Athletics vs Yankees Match - June 28, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for Athletics vs. New York Yankees on June 28, 2025. 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