{"id":185887,"date":"2025-06-21T02:18:02","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T06:18:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/current-player-trends-for-mariners-vs-cubs-saturday-june-21-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-21T20:40:03","modified_gmt":"2025-06-22T00:40:03","slug":"current-player-trends-for-mariners-vs-cubs-saturday-june-21-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/current-player-trends-for-mariners-vs-cubs-saturday-june-21-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Current Player Trends for Mariners vs Cubs &#8211; Saturday June 21, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+145<\/span><span>O\/U: 12.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-165<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Chicago Cubs prepare to face off against the Seattle Mariners at Wrigley Field on June 21, 2025, both teams are looking to bounce back from their recent outcomes. The Cubs fell to the Mariners 9-4 in their last game, while the Mariners celebrated a solid victory. With the Cubs holding a 45-30 record and the Mariners sitting at 38-36, the stakes are high in this Interleague matchup, especially considering the Cubs are projected to start Cade Horton, who has had a solid season despite ranking as the 121st best starting pitcher in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Horton\u2019s performance has been somewhat inconsistent, as he projects to pitch only 4.4 innings, allowing an average of 2.9 earned runs. His last outing on June 13 was strong, with 0 earned runs over 6 innings, but his overall projections suggest he may struggle against the Mariners&#8217; offense, which ranks 11th overall in MLB this season.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, Emerson Hancock, projected to start for the Mariners, has been less effective, ranking among the worst pitchers in MLB. However, he pitched well in his last game, throwing 7 innings without allowing an earned run. Nevertheless, his projections indicate he may also have a tough outing, expected to allow around 3.7 earned runs.<\/p>\n<p>The Cubs&#8217; offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking 4th in MLB and boasting an impressive 6.97 implied team total for today\u2019s game. With the Mariners&#8217; offense ranking 11th and their best hitter riding a hot streak, this game promises to be a high-scoring affair, reflected in the high Game Total of 12.5 runs. With the Cubs as the betting favorites at -165, they aim to leverage their strong lineup against a struggling Mariners pitching staff.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Emerson Hancock &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Emerson Hancock&#8217;s sinker percentage has risen by 7.2% from last year to this one (29.8% to 37%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Randy Arozarena &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Randy Arozarena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph dropping to 80.3-mph in the last week.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Emerson Hancock &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Cal Raleigh, the Mariners&#8217;s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211;  Moneyline (-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kyle Tucker &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Typically, batters like Kyle Tucker who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Emerson Hancock.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago Cubs&#8217; bullpen profiles as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in the league.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 73 games (+12.70 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 12.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+5.05 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>J.P. Crawford &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+6.60 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.20.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Chicago Cubs prepare to face off against the Seattle Mariners at Wrigley Field on June 21, 2025, both teams are looking to bounce back from their recent outcomes.&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":185888,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[14,319,769,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,831,4],"class_list":["post-185887","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-emerson-hancock","tag-kyle-tucker","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-randy-arozarena","tag-seattle-mariners"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Current Player Trends for Mariners vs Cubs - Saturday June 21, 2025 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago Cubs matchup on June 21, 2025. 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